Journal of Navigation and Port Research (한국항해항만학회지)

Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research (한국항해항만학회)
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A Study on the Correlation between Effective Impact Speed and the Severity of Collision Accidents with Fishing Vessels

유효충돌속도에 따른 어선 충돌사고 피해 상관성에 관한 연구

  • 박현구 (한국해사컨설팅(주)) ;
  • 박영수 (한국해양대학교 항해융합학부) ;
  • 박상원 (한국해양수산개발원)
  • Received : 2023.05.19
  • Accepted : 2023.06.07
  • Published : 2023.08.31
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Abstract

In maritime accidents, collisions involving fishing vessels are more frequent and severe than those involving other types of vessels. Previous cases of collision accidents caused by fishing vessels causing serious damage implied that fishing vessels maintained high speeds until just before the collision and that they collided with much larger vessels. This study investigated the correlation between the severity of ship damage resulting from fishing vessel collisions and the vessel's speed. The effective impact speed commonly used in the road transport sector was utilized to analyze ship collision accidents. The study collected collision data between fishing vessels and between fishing vessels and non-fishing vessels from accident investigation reports from 2016 to 2022. The effective impact speed was calculated for a total of 617 vessels. After using binary and multinomial logistic regression methodology, the analysis was carried out with effective impact speed as the independent variable and severity of accident as the dependent variable. The analysis revealed a statistically significant correlation between the effective impact speed and the severity of ship damage, indicating that the severity of ship damage is influenced not only by the effective impact speed but also by the tonnage of the vessel.

국내 해양사고에서 어선의 충돌사고는 타 선종보다 빈번하고 사고 심각도는 높은 편에 속한다. 과거 큰 피해를 불러온 국내 어선충돌사고의 시사점은 어선이 충돌 직전까지 높은 항행 속력을 유지하고 있었다는 것과 어선이 규모 차이가 큰 선박과 충돌하였다는 점에 있다. 본 논문에서는 어선의 충돌사고 결과로 나타나는 선박피해 심각도를 선박의 속력과 분석하여 상관관계를 확인하는 연구를 하였다. 이를위해 도로교통분야에서 활용되고 있는 유효충돌속도(Effective Impact Speed)라는 개념을 두 선박의 충돌상황에 적용하였고 2016년부터 2022년까지 해양사고 재결서 중 어선과 어선, 어선과 비어선 충돌사고 데이터를 수집하여 총 617척 선박의 유효충돌속도를 산출하였다. 분석된 데이터를 바탕으로 유효충돌속도를 독립변수, 선박피해 심각도를 종속변수로 하는 이항 및 다항 로지스틱 회귀분석을 수행하여 두 변수의 상관성을 살펴보았다. 분석결과 유효충돌속도와 선박피해 심각도가 서로 통계적으로 유의하다는 것과 선박피해심각도는 유효충돌속도와 함께 선박의 질량에도 큰 영향을 받는다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

Keywords

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