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결혼과 출산 간의 관계에서 거주지 선택의 조절 효과 검증 -지방소멸 대응을 위한 광역화 관점에서-

Moderating Effect of Residential Selection on the Relationship between Marriage and Childbirth - From Perspective of Regional Integration against Local Extinction -

  • 투고 : 2023.05.16
  • 심사 : 2023.07.01
  • 발행 : 2023.07.31

초록

본 연구는 결혼과 출산 간의 인과적 구조에서 거주지 선택의 조절 효과를 검증하여 거주지 선택이 출산에 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 확인하였다. 분석 결과, 초혼은 지방정부의 공공서비스를 위한 재정적 역량, 주거 안정성, 지역 규모, 지역의 경제 상황과의 상호작용 그리고 재혼 및 외국인과의 결혼은 지방정부의 공공서비스를 위한 재정적 역량, 주거 안정성, 지역 규모와의 상호작용이 출산에 조절 효과를 지니는 것으로 확인되었다. 이런 분석 결과는 결혼 부부가 거주지로 농어촌 지역보다는 중소도시 및 대도시로 선택할 경우가 출산 의사에 더 긍정적인 영향을 미칠 수 있음을 의미한다. 결혼과 출산 간의 관계에서 거주지 선택의 조절 효과를 근거로 광역화를 주장하는 것이 논리적으로 문제가 있다는 의견도 존재할 수 있지만, 본 연구의 분석 결과와 현재의 결혼 부부 농어촌 지역으로서의 거주 회피현상은 광역화의 필요성을 제기하는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

This study is to verify the moderating effect of residential selection on the relationship between marriage and childbirth. According to the analysis results, interactions of first marriage with the financial capacity of local governments for public services, residential stability, the scale of the region, and local economic situation have a moderating effect on childbirth. Interactions of remarriage and marriage with foreigners with the financial capacity of local governments for public services, residential stability, and the scale of the region have a moderating effect on childbirth. These results indicate that when married couples choose to reside in small and medium-sized cities or large cities rather than rural areas, it can more positively affect their intention to have children. While there may be a logical argument against advocating for regional integration based on the moderating effect of residential selection on the relationship between marriage and childbirth, the analysis results of this study and the phenomenon of married couples avoiding rural areas can contribute to raising the need for regional integration.

키워드

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