Acknowledgement
이 연구는 농촌진흥청 국립농업과학원 농업과학기술 연구개발사업(과제번호: RS-2020-RD009291)의 지원으로 수행되었습니다
References
- Ahn, J. B., J. Y. Hong, and K. M Shim, 2016a: Agro-climate changes over Northeast Asia in RCP scenarios simulated by WRF. International Journal of Climatology 36(3), 1278-1290. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4423
- Ahn, J. B., S. Jo, M. S. Suh, D. H. Cha, D. K. Lee, S. Y. Hong, S. K. Min, S. C. Park, S. H. Kang, and K. M. Shim, 2016b: Changes of precipitation extremes over South Korea projected by the 5 RCMs under RCP scenarios. Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 52, 223-236. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-016-0021-0
- Ahn, J. B., Y. H. Kim, K. M. Shim, M. S. Suh, D. H. Cha, D. K. Lee, S. Y. Hong, S. K. Min, S. C. Park, and H. S. Kang, 2021: Climatic yield potential of Japonica-type rice in the Korean Peninsula under RCP scenarios using the ensemble of multi-GCM and multi-RCM chains. International Journal of climatology 41, E1287-E1302. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6767
- Bi, D., M. Dix, S. Marsland, S. O'farrell, A. Sullivan, R. Bodman, R. Law, I. Harman, J. Srbinovsky, H. A. Rashid, P. Dobrohotoff, C. Mackallah, H. Yan, A. Hirst, A. Savita, F. B. Dias, M. Woodhouse, R. Fiedler, and A. Heerdegen, 2020: Configuration and spin-up of ACCESS-CM2, the new generation Australian community climate and earth system simulator coupled model. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science 70(1), 225-251. https://doi.org/10.1071/ES19040
- Boucher, O., S. Denvil, G. Levavasseur, A. Cozic, A. Caubel, M. A. Foujols, Y. Meurdesoif, P. Cadule, M. Devilliers, J. Ghattas, N. Lebas, T. Lurton, L. Mellul, I. Musat, J. Mignot, and F. Cheruy, 2018: IPSL IPSL-CM6A-LR model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP. https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.1534
- H. Chen and J. Sun, 2013: Projected change in east Asian summer monsoon precipitation under RCP scenario. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 121, 55-77. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-013-0257-5
- Doscher, R., M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, A. Arneth, and T. Arsouze, 2022: The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6. Geoscientific Model Development 15, 2973-3020. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-2973-2022
- Dunne, J. P., L. W. Horowitz, A. J. Adcroft, P. Ginoux, I. M. Held, J. G. John, J. P. Krasting, S. Malyshev, V. Naik, F. Paulot, E. Shevliakova, C. A. Stock, N. Zadeh, V. Balaji, C. Blanton, K. A. Dunne, C. Dupuis, J. Durachta, R. Dussin, P. P. G. Gauthier, S. M. Griffies, H. Guo, R. W. Hallberg, M. Harrison, J. He, W. Hurlin, C. McHugh, R. Menzel, P. C. D. Milly, S. Nikonov, D. J. Paynter, J. Ploshay, A. Radhakrishnan, K. Rand, B. G. Reichl, T. Robinson, D. M. Schwarzkopf, L. T. Sentman, S. Underwood, H. Vahlenkamp, M. Winton, A. T. Wittenberg, B. Wyman, Y. Zeng, and M. Zhao, 2020: The GFDL Earth System Model version 4.1 (GFDL-ESM 4.1): Overall coupled model description and simulation characteristics. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12(11), e2019MS002015. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS002015
- Hajima, T., M. Watanabe, A. Yamamoto, H. Tatebe, M. A. Noguchi, M. Abe, R. Ohgaito, A. Ito, D. Yamazaki, H. Okajima, A. Ito, K. Takata, K. Ogochi, S. Watanabe, and M. Kawamiya, 2020: Development of the MIROC-ES2L Earth system model and the evaluation of biogeochemical processes and feedbacks. Geoscientific Model Development 13(5), 2197-2244. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-2197-2020
- Hanyu, J., T. Uchijima, and S. Sugawara, 1966: Studies on the agro-climatological method for expressing the paddy rice products. I. an agro-climatic index for expressing the quantity of ripening of the paddy rice. Bulletin of Tohoku National Agricultural Experimental Station 34, 27-36.
- Hong, S. Y., J. Hur, J. B. Ahn, J. M. Lee, B. K. Min, C. K. Lee, Y. Kim, K. D. Lee, S.-H. Kim, G. Y. Kim and K. M. Shim, 2012: Estimating rice yield using MODIS NDVI and meteorological data in Korea. Korean Journal of Remote Sensing 28(5), 509-520. (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.7780/KJRS.2012.28.5.4
- IPCC, 2023, Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 35-115.
- Kim, J., W. Sang, P. Shin, H. Cho, M. Seo, B. Yoo, and K. S. Kim, 2015: Evaluation of regional climate scenario data for impact assessment of climate change on rice productivity in Korea. Journal of Crop Science and Biotechnology 18(4), 257-264. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12892-015-0103-z
- Kim, S. O., and J. I. Yun, 2015: Improving the usage of the Korea Meteorological Administration's digital forecasts in agriculture: IV. Estimation of daily sunshine duration and solar radiation based on 'Sky Condition' product. Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 17(4), 281-289. (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.5532/KJAFM.2015.17.4.281
- Lee B. W., 2012, Climate change impacts and responses to global agriculture. World Agriculture 146(0), 79-94. (in Korean with English abstract)
- Lee, C. K., D. S. Kim, Y. U. Kwon, J. E. Lee, J. H. Seo, and B. W. Lee, 2009: The effect of temperature and radiation on grain weight and grain nitrogen content in rice. Korean Journal of crop science 54(1), 36-44. (in Korean with English abstract)
- Lee, C. K., K. S. Kwak, J. H. Kim, J. Y. Son, and W. H. Yang, 2011: Impacts of Climate Change and Follow-up Cropping Season Shift on Growing Period and Temperature in Different Rice Maturity Types. Korean journal of crop science 56(3), 233-243. (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.7740/KJCS.2011.56.3.233
- Lee, J., J. Kim, M. A. Sun, B. H. Kim, H. Moon, H. M. Sung, J. Kim, and Y. H. Byun, 2020: Evaluation of the Korea meteorological administration advanced community earth-system model (K-ACE). Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 56, 381-395. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13143-019-00144-7
- Mauritsen, T., J. Bader, T. Becker, J. Behrens, M. Bittner, R. Brokopf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, T. Crueger, M. Esch, I. Fast, S. Fiedler, D. Flaschner, V. Gayler, M. Giorgetta, D. S. Goll, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, C. Hedemann, C. Hohenegger, T. Ilyina, T. Jahns, D. Jimenez-de-la-Cuesta, J. Jungclaus, T. Kleinen, S. Kloster, D. Kracher, S. Kinne, D. Kleberg, G. Lasslop, L. Kornblueh, J. Marotzke, D. Matei, K. Meraner, U. Mikolajewicz, K. Modali, B. Mobis, W. A. Muller, J. E. M. S. Nabel, C. C. W. Nam, D. Notz, S.-S. Nyawira, H. Paulsen, K. Peters, R. Pincus, H. Pohlmann, J. Pongratz, M. Popp, T. J. Raddatz, S. Rast, R. Redler, C. H. Reick, T. Rohrschneider, V. Schemann, H. Schmidt, R. Schnur, U. Schulzweida, K. D. Six, L. Stein, I. Stemmler, B. Stevens, J.-S. Storch, F. Tian, A. Voigt, P. Vrese, K.-H. Wieners, S. Wilkenskjeld, A. Winkler, and E. Roeckner, 2019: Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1. 2) and its response to increasing CO2. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11(4), 998-1038. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018MS001400
- Muller, W. A., J. H. Jungclaus, T. Mauritsen, J. Baehr, M. Bittner, R. Budich, F. Bunzel, M. Esch, R. Ghosh, H. Haak, T. Ilyina, T. Kleine, L. Kornblueh, H. Li, K. Modali, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, E. Roeckner, I. Stemmler, F. Tian, and J. Marotzke, 2018: A higher-resolution version of the max planck institute earth system model (MPI-ESM1. 2-HR). Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 10(7), 1383-1413. https://doi.org/10.1029/2017MS001217
- O'Neill, B. C., E. Kriegler, K. Riahi, K. L. Ebi, S. Hallegatte, T. R. Carter, R. Marthur, and D. P. van Vuuren, 2014: A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways. Climatic change 122, 387-400. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0905-2
- Oh, S. G., J. H. Park, S. H. Lee, and M. S. Suh, 2014: Assessment of the RegCM4 over East Asia and future precipitation change adapted to the RCP scenarios. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 119(6), 2913-2927. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020693
- RDA, 2021, Guideline on produce high-resolution climate change data based on SSP scenarios for Agricultural Applications. Rural Development Administration, Rep. Korea, https://www.korea.kr/archive/expDocView.do?docId=39829
- Seferian, R., P. Nabat, M. Michou, D. Saint-Martin, A. Voldoire, J. Colin, B. Decharme, C. Delire, S. Berthet, M. Chevallier, S. Senesi, L. Franchisteguy, J. Vial, M. Mallet, E. Joetzjer, O. Geoffroy, J.-F. Gueremy, M.-P. Moine, R. Msadek, A. Ribes, M. Rocher, R. Roehrig, D. Salas-y-Melia, E. Sanchez, L. Terray, S. Valcke, R. Waldman, O. Aumont, L. Bopp, J. Deshayes, C. Ethe, and G. Madec, 2019: Evaluation of CNRM Earth System Model, CNRM-ESM2-1: Role of Earth system processes in present-day and future climate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11(12), 4182-4227. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001791
- Seland, O., M. Bentsen, D. Olivie, T. Toniazzo, A. Gjermundsen, L. S. Graff, J. B. Debernard, A. K. Gupta, Y.-C. He, A. Kirkevag, J. Schwinger, J. Tjiputra, K. S. Aas, I. Bethke, Y. Fan, J. Griesfeller, A. Grini, C. Guo, M. Ilicak, I. H. H. Karset, O. Landgren, J. Liakka, K. O. Moseid, A. Nummelin, C. Spensberger, H. Tang, Z. Zhang, C. Heinze, T. Iversen, and M. Schulz, 2020: Overview of the Norwegian Earth System Model (NorESM2) and key climate response of CMIP6 DECK, historical, and scenario simulations. Geoscientific Model Development 13(12), 6165-6200. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-6165-2020
- Sellar, A. A., C. G. Jones, J. P. Mulcahy, Y. Tang, A. Yool, A. Wiltshire, F. M. O'Connor, M. Stringer, R. Hill, J. Palmieri, S. Woodward, L. de Mora, T. Kuhlbrodt, S. T. Rumbold, D. I. Kelley, R. Ellis, C. E. Johnson, J. Walton, N. L. Abraham, M. B. Andrews, T. Andrews, A. T. Archibald, S. Berthou, E. Burke, E. Blockley, K. Carslaw, M. Dalvi, J. Edwards, G. A. Folberth, N. Gedney, P. T. Griffiths, A. B. Harper, M. A. Hendry, A. J. Hewitt, B. Johnson, A. Jones, C. D. Jones, J. Keeble, S. Liddicoat, O. Morgenstern, R. J. Parker, V. Predoi, E. Robertson, A. Siahaan, R. S. Smith, R. Swaminathan, M. T. Woodhouse, G. Zeng, and M. Zerroukat, 2019: UKESM1: Description and evaluation of the UK Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11(12), 4513-4558. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001739
- Shim K. M., Y. -S. Kim, M.-P. Jung, and I.-T. Choi, 2014: Change of Climatic Productivity Index for Rice under Recent Climate Change in Korea. Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 16(4), 384-388. (in Korean with English abstract) https://doi.org/10.5532/KJAFM.2014.16.4.384
- Swart, N. C., J. N. Cole, V. V. Kharin, M. Lazare, J. F. Scinocca, N. P. Gillett, V. V. Kharin, M. Lazare, J. F. Scinocca, N. P. Gillett, J. Anstey, V. Arora, J. R. Christian, S. Hanna, Y. Jiao, W. G. Lee, F. Majaess, O. A. Saenko, C. Seiler, C. Seinen, A. Shao, M. Sigmond, L. Solheim, K. von Salzen, D. Yang, and B. Winter, 2019: The Canadian earth system model version 5 (CanESM5. 0.3). Geoscientific Model Development 12(11), 4823-4873. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-4823-2019
- Tatebe, H., T. Ogura, T. Nitta, Y. Komuro, K. Ogochi, T. Takemura, K. Sudo, M. Sekiguchi, M. Abe, F. Saito, M. Chikira, S. Watanabe, M. Mori, N. Hirota, Y. Kawatani, T. Mochizuki, K. Yoshimura, K. Takata, R. O'ishi, D. Yamazaki, T. Suzuki, M. Kurogi, T. Kataoka, M. Watanabe, and M. Kimoto, 2019: Description and basic evaluation of simulated mean state, internal variability, and climate sensitivity in MIROC6. Geoscientific Model Development 12(7), 2727-2765. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-2727-2019
- van Vuuren, D. P., E. Kriegler, B. C. O'Neill, K. L. Ebi, K. Riahi, T. R. Carter, J. Edmonds, S. Hallegatte, T. Kram, R. Mathur, and H. Winkler, 2014: A New Scenario Framework for Climate Change Research: Scenario Matrix Architecture. Climatic Change 122, 373-386. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0906-1
- Voldoire, A., D. Saint-Martin, S. Senesi, B. Decharme, A. Alias, M. Chevallier, J. Colin, J.-F. Gueremy, M. Michou, M.-P. Moine, P. Nabat, R. Roehrig, D. Salas y Melia, R. Seferian, S. Valcke, I. Beau, S. Belamari, S. Berthet, C. Cassou, J. Cattiaux, J. Deshayes, H. Douville, C. Ethe, L. Franchisteguy, O. Geoffroy, C. Levy, G. Madec, Y. Meurdesoif, R. Msadek, A. Ribes, E. Sanchez-Gomez, L. Terray, and R. Waldman, 2019: Evaluation of CMIP6 deck experiments with CNRM-CM6-1. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11(7), 2177-2213. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001683
- Volodin, E., E. Mortikov, A. Gritsun, V. Lykossov, V. Galin, N. Diansky, A. Gusev, S. Kostrykin, N. Iakovlev, A. Shestakova and S. Emelina, 2019a: INM INM-CM4-8 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP.
- Volodin, E., E. Mortikov, A. Gritsun, V. Lykossov, V. Galin, N. Diansky, A. Gusev, S. Kostrykin, N. Iakovlev, A. Shestakova and S. Emelina, 2019b: INM INM-CM5-0 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP.
- Yukimoto, S., H. Kawai, T. Koshiro, N. Oshima, K. Yoshida, S. Urakawa, H. Tsujino, M. Deushi, T. Tanaka, M. Hosaka, S. Tabu, H. Yoshimura, E. Shindo, R. Mizuta, A. Obata, Y. Adachi, and M. Ishii, 2019: The Meteorological Research Institute Earth System Model version 2.0, MRI-ESM2. 0: Description and basic evaluation of the physical component. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 97(5), 931-965. https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2019-051
- Ziehn, T., M. Chamberlain, A. Lenton, R. Law, R. Bodman, M. Dix, Y. Wang, P. Dobrohotoff, J. Srbinovsky, L. Stevens, P. Vohralik, C. Mackallah, A. Sullivan, S. O'Farrell, and K. Druken, 2019: IPCC DDC: CSIRO ACCESS-ESM1. 5 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP.