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기후변화 적응을 위한 연안 재해 회복탄력성 측정 모형의 개발 및 적용: 연안침식 사례를 중심으로

Development and Application of a Coastal Disaster Resilience Measurement Model for Climate Change Adaptation: Focusing on Coastal Erosion Cases

  • 투고 : 2023.11.27
  • 심사 : 2023.12.29
  • 발행 : 2023.12.31

초록

기후변화는 연안지역에 심각한 영향을 미치고 있으며 그 영향이 점점 증가할 것이라고 예상되는 바, 최근 기후변화 적응 및 리스크 평가에 있어 많은 연구들이 취약성과 함께 회복탄력성 개념을 이용하고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 기후변화 적응을 위한 연안재해 회복탄력성 측정 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 측정 모형 개발에 앞서 연안재해 회복탄력성에 대한 광범위한 문헌검토를 통해 취약성과 회복탄력성에 대한 조작적 정의와 함께 여러 피드백 메커니즘이 포함된 개념적 프레임워크를 작성하였다. 연안재해 회복탄력성 측정 모형은 네 가지 측정값(MRV, LRV, RTSPV, ND)과 연안재해 회복탄력성 복합 지수(CRI)를 포함하고 있으며, 개발된 지수는 국내 연안침식 사례에 적용되었다. 또한 지수 등급에 따른 지역적 분석이 수행되었다. 연구 결과, 네 가지 회복탄력성 측정값을 통해 각 지점이 가지는 연안침식 회복탄력성의 다양한 특성을 파악할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 연안 회복탄력성 복합 지수의 매핑 결과 서해안 및 남해안 지역에 비해 동해안 지역들은 연안침식 회복탄력성이 상대적으로 떨어지는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 회복탄력성 측정 모형은 적응 이후의 이행전략에 대한 논의를 제공하는 도구로 활용될 수 있으며, 서로 다른 취약 지역 그룹 간 정책지원에 대한 우선순위를 결정하는 데 이용 가능하다.

Climate change is significantly affecting coastal areas, and its impacts are expected to intensify. Recent studies on climate change adaptation and risk assessment in coastal regions increasingly integrate the concepts of recovery resilience and vulnerability. The aim of this study is to develop a measurement model for coastal hazard recovery resilience in the context of climate change adaptation. Before constructing the measurement model, a comprehensive literature review was conducted on coastal hazard recovery resilience, establishing a conceptual framework that included operational definitions for vulnerability and recovery resilience, along with several feedback mechanisms. The measurement model for coastal hazard recovery resilience comprised four metrics (MRV, LRV, RTSPV, and ND) and a Coastal Resilience Index (CRI). The developed indices were applied to domestic coastal erosion cases, and regional analyses were performed based on the index grades. The results revealed that the four recovery resilience metrics provided insights into the diverse characteristics of coastal erosion recovery resilience at each location. Mapping the composite indices of coastal resilience indicated that the areas along the East Sea exhibited relatively lower coastal erosion recovery resilience than the West and South Sea regions. The developed recovery resilience measurement model can serve as a tool for discussions on post-adaptation strategies and is applicable for determining policy priorities among different vulnerable regional groups.

키워드

과제정보

이 논문은 2023년도 해양수산부 재원으로 해양수산과학기술진흥원의 지원을 받아 수행된 연구임(20220431, 해양공간 정책시뮬레이터 기술개발).

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