Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology (대한영상의학회지)

The Korean Society of Radiology (대한영상의학회)
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CT Examinations for COVID-19: A Systematic Review of Protocols, Radiation Dose, and Numbers Needed to Diagnose and Predict

COVID-19 진단을 위한 CT 검사: 프로토콜, 방사선량에 대한 체계적 문헌고찰 및 진단을 위한 CT 검사량

  • Jong Hyuk Lee (Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine) ;
  • Hyunsook Hong (Medical Research Collaborating Center, Seoul National University Hospital) ;
  • Hyungjin Kim (Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine) ;
  • Chang Hyun Lee (Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine) ;
  • Jin Mo Goo (Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine) ;
  • Soon Ho Yoon (Department of Radiology, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine)
  • 이종혁 (서울대학교 의과대학 서울대학교병원 영상의학과) ;
  • 홍현숙 (서울대학교병원 의학연구협력센터) ;
  • 김형진 (서울대학교 의과대학 서울대학교병원 영상의학과) ;
  • 이창현 (서울대학교 의과대학 서울대학교병원 영상의학과) ;
  • 구진모 (서울대학교 의과대학 서울대학교병원 영상의학과) ;
  • 윤순호 (서울대학교 의과대학 서울대학교병원 영상의학과)
  • Received : 2021.05.21
  • Accepted : 2021.07.28
  • Published : 2021.11.01
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Abstract

Purpose Although chest CT has been discussed as a first-line test for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), little research has explored the implications of CT exposure in the population. To review chest CT protocols and radiation doses in COVID-19 publications and explore the number needed to diagnose (NND) and the number needed to predict (NNP) if CT is used as a first-line test. Materials and Methods We searched nine highly cited radiology journals to identify studies discussing the CT-based diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia. Study-level information on the CT protocol and radiation dose was collected, and the doses were compared with each national diagnostic reference level (DRL). The NND and NNP, which depends on the test positive rate (TPR), were calculated, given a CT sensitivity of 94% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 91%-96%) and specificity of 37% (95% CI: 26%-50%), and applied to the early outbreak in Wuhan, New York, and Italy. Results From 86 studies, the CT protocol and radiation dose were reported in 81 (94.2%) and 17 studies (19.8%), respectively. Low-dose chest CT was used more than twice as often as standard-dose chest CT (39.5% vs.18.6%), while the remaining studies (44.2%) did not provide relevant information. The radiation doses were lower than the national DRLs in 15 of the 17 studies (88.2%) that reported doses. The NND was 3.2 scans (95% CI: 2.2-6.0). The NNPs at TPRs of 50%, 25%, 10%, and 5% were 2.2, 3.6, 8.0, 15.5 scans, respectively. In Wuhan, 35418 (TPR, 58%; 95% CI: 27710-56755) to 44840 (TPR, 38%; 95% CI: 35161-68164) individuals were estimated to have undergone CT examinations to diagnose 17365 patients. During the early surge in New York and Italy, daily NNDs changed up to 5.4 and 10.9 times, respectively, within 10 weeks. Conclusion Low-dose CT protocols were described in less than half of COVID-19 publications, and radiation doses were frequently lacking. The number of populations involved in a first-line diagnostic CT test could vary dynamically according to daily TPR; therefore, caution is required in future planning.

목적 Coronavirus disease 2019 (이하 COVID-19) 폐렴에서 CT를 일차 진단 검사로 사용하고자 하는 논의가 있지만, 대규모 인구에게 CT 검사를 적용했을 때의 상황을 고찰한 연구는 없었다. 본 연구에서는 COVID-19 폐렴을 다룬 연구들에서 CT 프로토콜과 방사선량을 분석하고, CT 검사가 일차 진단 검사법으로 사용될 때 필요한 CT 검사량에 대해 알아보고자 한다. 대상과 방법 본 연구는 9개의 인용도가 높은 영상의학과 저널에서 COVID-19 폐렴의 CT 기반 진단을 다룬 문헌들을 검색하였다. 먼저, 연구에서 제시된 CT 프로토콜, 방사선량을 조사하여, 이를 해당 국가의 diagnostic reference level과 비교하였다. 추가로, COVID-19에 대한 CT 민감도 94%, 특이도 37%를 적용하여, 우한시와 뉴욕, 이탈리아의 초기 COVID-19 outbreak에서 polymerase chain reaction (이하 PCR) 검사 양성률에 기반한 number needed to diagnose (이하 NND)와 number needed to predict (이하 NNP)를 계산하였다. 결과 총 86개의 연구가 검색되었고, 그중 CT 프로토콜은 81개의 연구에서(94.2%), 방사선량은 17개의 연구에서(19.8%) 보고되었다. 저선량 흉부 CT는 표준선량 흉부 CT보다 2배 많은 연구에서 활용되었다(39.5% vs. 18.6%). 방사선량을 보고한 17개의 연구들 중, 15개의 연구에서 방사선량은 해당 국가의 diagnostic reference level 수치보다 낮았다(88.2%). COVID-19에 대한 CT 민감도 94%, 특이도 37%를 적용하였을 때, NND는 3.2회 CT scans으로 나타났다. 한편, PCR 검사 양성률 50%, 25%, 10%, 5%에서의 한 명의 COVID-19 환자를 진단 위한 CT 검사량을 나타내는 NNP는 각각 2.2, 3.6, 8.0, 15.5회의 CT scans로 나타났다. 우한 시에서는 최종 17365명의 COVID-19 환자를 진단하기 위하여 약 35418명에서(PCR 검사 양성률 58%) 44840명(PCR 검사 양성률 38%)의 사람들이 CT 검사를 받은 것으로 나타났다. 뉴욕시와 이탈리아의 초기 COVID-19 유행 10주간, PCR 검사 양성률에 따라 일 CT 검사량이 최대 5.4, 10.9배까지 변화하였다. 결론 CT를 COVID-19에 대한 일차적인 진단검사로 사용할 경우, PCR 검사 양성률에 따라 CT 검사량은 변동량이 크고, 이는 추후 판데믹 상황에서 고려되어야 할 것이다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

The authors would like to acknowledge Andrew Dombrowski, PhD (Compecs, Inc.) for his assistance in improving the use of English in this manuscript.

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