Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management (한국건설관리학회논문집)

Korea Institute of Construction Engineering and Management (한국건설관리학회)
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A Study on the Factors affecting the Duration of Urban Redevelopment Projects - Based on the Project Area, Economic and Locational Characteristics -

도시정비형 재개발사업 소요기간의 영향요인 - 사업구역과 경제적 및 입지적 특성을 바탕으로 -

  • Lee, Jaewon (Department of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk University) ;
  • Bae, Sangyoung (Department of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk University) ;
  • Jeong, Bosun (Department of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk University) ;
  • Lee, Sangyoub (Department of Real Estate Studies, Konkuk University)
  • 이재원 (건국대학교 부동산학과) ;
  • 배상영 (건국대학교 부동산학과) ;
  • 정보선 (건국대학교 부동산학과) ;
  • 이상엽 (건국대학교 부동산학과)
  • Received : 2021.04.12
  • Accepted : 2021.04.21
  • Published : 2021.05.31
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Abstract

This study analyzed the influencing factors for urban redevelopment projects with a relatively long project duration in the context of Seoul's increasing urbanization rate and aging. Among the business areas that have been designated since 2005 and have been approved for the management and disposal plan of the entire Seoul area, 75 business areas have been set as targets. A hedonic price model was used to analyze the project area, economic, and locational characteristics as independent variables with the project duration from designation of zones to approval of management and disposal plans as dependent variables. As a result of the analysis, the smaller the project area, the larger the area occupied per union member, the larger the land price change rate, and the smaller the KOSPI index, the shorter the required period. This study has the distinction of empirically analyzing the effect of characteristic variables considering size and economic and locational characteristics on period. It provides implications that the area of the business area, the number of union members, and economic conditions should be considered when establishing a business area.

본 연구는 서울의 도시화율이 높아지고 도심 내 노후·불량 주거지가 증가함에 따라 지속적인 정비사업의 필요성이 요구되는 가운데 장기간의 사업기간을 소요하는 도시정비형 재개발사업을 대상으로 사업기간에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 서울 전권역의 2005년 이후 사업구역으로 지정되어 관리처분계획인가까지 완료한 사업구역 중 데이터 구성이 가능한 75개 사업구역을 대상으로 설정하였다. 구역지정부터 관리처분계획인가까지 소요된 기간을 종속변수로 하여, 재개발사업구역의 특성과 경제적 특성, 입지적 특성을 독립변수로 설정하여 헤도닉가격모형으로 분석하였다. 분석결과, 사업구역 규모가 작을수록, 조합원 1인당 차지하는 구역면적이 클수록, 지가변동률이 클수록, KOSPI 지수가 작을수록 소요기간이 단축되는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 사업구역의 규모를 고려한 특성 변수와 사업 진행 시기의 경제적 특성, 입지적 특성을 모형으로 하여 사업의 소요기간에 미치는 영향을 실증분석하였다는 점에서 기존 연구와 차별점을 가진다. 연구결과를 통해 본 연구는 도시정비형 재개발사업의 사업구역 설정 시 사업구역 면적과 조합원수, 경제적 상황 등이 고려되어야 한다는 시사점을 제공하며 이를 통해 재개발사업을 추진하는 시행자와 시공자, 금융기관 등의 사업참여자와 이를 관리하는 지자체 관계자들의 합리적인 의사결정에 도움이 되고자 한다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2019년도 건국대학교 우수연구인력 양성사업지원에 의한 논문임.

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