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과거 재난사례분석을 통한 재난 의사결정 체크리스트 구성에 관한 연구

A Study to Construct a Decision-making Checklist through the Analysis of Past Disaster Case

  • Seo, Kyungmin (Disaster Policy Research Center, National Disaster Management Research Institute) ;
  • Rheem, Sankyu (Disaster Policy Research Center, National Disaster Management Research Institute) ;
  • Choi, Woojung (Disaster Policy Research Center, National Disaster Management Research Institute)
  • 투고 : 2019.11.04
  • 심사 : 2020.06.11
  • 발행 : 2020.06.30

초록

연구목적: 본 연구는 재난유형별 체크리스트 작성을 통해 해당재난에 대한 적합한 대응체계 수립과 정확하고 신속한 의사결정을 위한 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 연구방법: 체크리스트 요인 도출을 위하여 태풍재난을 대상으로 과거 사례분석(태풍 루사(2002), 태풍 매미(2003), 태풍 차바(2016))을 진행하였다. 일반적인 현황(기후·기상)정보와 사례별 특징 등을 분석하여 체크리스트 요인 도출을 위한 그룹핑(grouping)을 진행하였다. 연구결과: 사례조사를 통해 크게 국가단위(National level)와 지자체 단위(county level)로 분류하였다. 국가단위의 항목으로는 기상예보, 태풍상륙여부, 태풍강도, 태풍반경, 중심기압, 호우동반 여부, 이동속도, 이동경로 총 8개를 도출하였고, 지자체 단위에서는 지역특성을 반영해야 항목들을 중심으로 과거 유사 태풍 유무(경로 등), 태풍상륙시점, 지역특성, 인구밀집 시기, 선행재난 복구 여부, 최근 재난발생 이력, 2차 피해, 예·경보 시스템으로 총 8개 항목을 도출하였다. 결론: 재난 발생 시 본 연구에서 제안한 체크리스트를 활용·적용한다면 보다 신속한 의사결정이 이루어 질 것으로 판단된다. 또한, 재난발생시 재난실무자들의 대응계획 수립에 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이며 지역특성을 반영했기 때문에 좀 더 명확하고 신속한 재난 대비·대응이 될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to create a checklist for each type of disaster and to suggest a method for establishing an appropriate response system and making accurate and rapid decision-making. Method: In order to derive checklist factors, previous case analyses (Tropical Storm Rusa (2002), Typhoon Maemi (2003), and Typhoon Chaba (2016) were conducted for typhoon disaster. Grouping was conducted to derive checklist factors by analyzing general status (climate and weather) information and characteristics by case. Result: The case study was divided into national level and county level. In terms of national unit, eight forecasts were included: weather forecast, typhoon landing status, typhoon intensity, typhoon radius, central pressure, heavy rain conditions, movement speed, and route. Local governments should reflect regional characteristics, focusing on the presence or absence of similar typhoons (paths) in the past, typhoon landing time, regional characteristics, population density, prior disaster recovery, recent disaster occurrence history, secondary damage, forecast warning system. A total of eight items were derived. Conclusion: In the event of a disaster, decision making will be faster if the checklist proposed in this study is used and applied. In addition, it can be used as the basic data for disaster planners' response plans in case of disasters, and it is expected to be a more clear and quick disaster preparedness and response because it reflects local characteristics.

키워드

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