Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation (한국시뮬레이션학회논문지)

The Korea Society for Simulation (한국시뮬레이션학회)
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A Study on the Product Qualification Criteria through Monte-Carlo Simulation and Association Rule Analysis

군수품 조달을 위한 물품적격심사기준의 조달특성 및 심사분야 배점의 적절성에 관한 연구

  • Received : 2020.11.04
  • Accepted : 2020.11.30
  • Published : 2020.12.31
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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the adequacy of product qualification criteria through Monte-Carlo simulation and association rule analysis. We first surveyed the similar procurement systems, then we simulated the bid situation that randomly generated several vendors participated in a bid, and they obtained the score according to the product qualification criteria's judgement area. Then, the company with the highest score will win the bid, and further analysis was performed in terms of performance indicator and satisfaction ratio. The results of this study can be summarized as follows; Although the items related to the credibility accounted for the largest number items, it did not affect the actual bid results. It was analyzed that it is desirable to increase the allocation points in the area of business status and technical capability review than the current one.

본 연구에서는 방위사업청의 물품적격심사기준을 대상으로 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션 및 연관도 분석을 통해 조달 특성 및 심사분야 배점의 적절성을 분석하고자 한다. 먼저 유사 공공 기관들의 물품적격심사기준 제도를 조사하여, 방사청의 물품적격심사기준이 어떠한 특징을 지니는지 분석하였다. 이어서 다수의 공급자가 조달에 참여한다고 가정하고, 업체는 심사영역별로 심사기준에 의거하여 점수를 획득하여 가장 높은 점수를 얻은 업체가 계약건을 수주하는 상황을 시뮬레이션을 통해 묘사하였다. 약 500여 회 시뮬레이션을 통해 생산시스템의 성능지표 및 심사분야 관점에서 어떠한 강점을 지니는 업체가 선정되는지를 분석하였다. 또한 연관도 분석을 통해 심사분야 배점의 적절성에 대해 확인해 보았다. 연구결과를 요약하면, 신인도 관련항목이 심사 항목수로는 가장 다수를 차지하지만 실제 입찰 결과에는 영향을 못 미치며, 경영상태 및 기술능력 심사영역의 배점을 현재보다 높이는 것이 바람직한 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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