Electronics and Telecommunications Trends (전자통신동향분석)

Electronics and Telecommunications Research Institute (한국전자통신연구원)
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Mobile Traffic Trends

모바일 트래픽 동향

  • Published : 2019.06.01
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Abstract

Mobile traffic is one of the most important indexes of the growth of the mobile communications market, and it has a close relationship with subscribers' service usage patterns, frequency demand and supply, network management, and information communication policy. The purpose of this paper is to understand mobile data usage in Korea and to suggest the optimal steps for establishing the frequency supply and demand system by researching the traffic trends that reflect the characteristics of radio resources in the mobile communications field. To achieve this goal, attempts were made to increase the possibility of policy use by analyzing and forecasting mobile traffic trends, and to improve the accuracy of the research through the verification of the existing prediction results. The paper ends with a discussion of the necessity of a frequency management system based on data science.

Keywords

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그림 1 트래픽 증가 요인

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그림 2 모바일 트래픽 추이(TB/year, Logarithmic scale)

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그림 3 이동통신 데이터 트래픽 추이(PB/월, %)

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그림 4 가입자당 월 트래픽 증감 추이(MB/월)

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그림 6 4G 이용자별 트래픽 발생 구조

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그림 5 콘텐츠 유형별 트래픽 현황

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그림 7 K-ICT 스펙트럼 플랜의 4G 트래픽 예측검정

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그림 8 이동통신 트래픽 전망(EB/월)

References

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  5. S. Lee, C. Cho, E. Hong, B. Yoon, "Forecasting Mobile Broadband Traffic: Application of Scenario Analysis and Delphi Method," Expert Syst. Applicat., vol. 44, 2016, pp. 126-137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2015.09.030
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