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Korea Institute for Maritime Strategy (한국해양전략연구소)
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A Study on Maritime Claims based on the ICOW Project and Its Implications to the Dokdo Issue

ICOW 데이터를 활용한 해양관할권 분쟁 연구 동향 및 독도 문제에 대한 함의

  • Received : 2019.06.01
  • Accepted : 2019.07.24
  • Published : 2019.08.31
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Abstract

When compared to land territorial claims, maritime claims have not attracted as much attention from the public as well as the academia. However, after the ICOW (Issue Correlates of War) data was published and was expanded to include maritime and river claims, there have been many quantitative studies that analyze maritime claims or separate different types of territorial claims to explain various mechanisms over different types of territorial claims. These quantitative studies have provided valuable explanations about the onset and the management of maritime claims. This research tries to review these quantitative research. Most studies about maritime claims, especially regarding the management of claims, analyze maritime claims based on two different levels of factors. First, from the perspective of systemic level, several studies focus on the role of international institutions and systemic level of democracy to explain the management of maritime claims. Second, at the dyadic level, many studies explain how the issue salience, past experience, the presence of resources, joint democracy, and relative power influence the occurrence of peaceful settlement attempts or conflictual behaviors over maritime claims. Based on the review of these literature, this research tries to identify several factors to explain the Dokdo issue and to encourage peaceful settlement attempts over the Dokdo issue.

1997년 Issue Correlates of War(ICOW) 프로젝트 시작 이후 해양관할권 분쟁에 대한 정량적 연구가 미국을 중심으로 활발하게 진행되었다. 이러한 정량적 연구는 일부 해양관할권 분쟁 중심의 사례 연구에 비해 많은 해양관할권 분쟁을 연구 범위에 포함하고 있고, 통계적 오류를 최소화하기 위해 다양한 통계기법을 적용함으로써 광범위한 사례에 적용될 수 있는 일반화된 연구결과를 도출하고 있다. 이번 연구는 ICOW 데이터를 바탕으로 해양관할권 분쟁을 정량적으로 연구한 결과를 분석한 후 독도 문제에 적용될 수 있는 요소를 도출하고, 이를 바탕으로 독도 문제의 평화적 관리 및 해결에 어떤 전략이 효과적일지 설명하고자 한다.

Keywords

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