Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society

Korean Data Analysis Society (한국자료분석학회)
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An Empirical Study on the Effect of Local Festivals on Economic Growth

지역 축제의 경제성장 효과에 관한 실증분석

  • Received : 2018.11.20
  • Accepted : 2018.12.20
  • Published : 2018.12.31

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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of local festivals on regional economic growth through empirical analysis of festival - economic growth relation. Theoretically, the theory of creative city is at the center of the discussion as to how festivals can influence economic growth. We used the regional convergence equation and used pooled OLS, fixed effect model, and GMM estimation method to analyze the effect of festivals on regional economic growth. According to this empirical analysis, the effect of festival variables such as the number of festivals and the festival period on economic growth has not been affected. This suggests that the effects of festivals on productivity and efficiency have not existed. This implies that the creative city theory that local festivals influence regional economic growth does not work well.

본고에서는 축제-지역경제성장 관계의 실증분석을 통해, 지역축제가 지역경제성장에 미치는 영향을 확인하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있다. 이론적으로 축제가 경제성장에 영향을 줄 수 있는 경로에 대해서는 창조경제론이 논의의 중심에 있다. 축제의 지역경제성장에 대한 영향을 실증적으로 분석하기 위하여 지역의 소득수렴식을 이용하였고, 추정방법으로는 pooled OLS, 고정효과모형, GMM 추정방법을 사용하였다. 축제변수가 생산성에 영향을 주어 지역의 경제성장률에 영향을 주는 모형을 설정하여 이를 실증분석 하였다. 실증적 분석에 따르면, 축제의 수나 기간 등의 축제변수가 경제성장에 미치는 영향은 지금까지는 유의적이지 않은 것으로 분석되었다. 축제변수로는 축제의 수와 축제기간을 이용하였다. 축제변수가 선형적이든 비선형적이든 소득수렴식에서 성장률에 유의적으로 영향을 주지는 않은 것으로 추정되었다. 이는 축제가 생산성이나 효율성에 미치는 영향이 지금까지는 존재하지 않았다는 것을 시사한다. 이는 지역축제가 창조경제를 자극하여 지역의 경제성장에 영향을 줄 것이라는 창조경제론이 지역축제에서는 작동하지 않았음을 제시하는 것이다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

Supported by : 부산대학교

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