대한교통학회지 (Journal of Korean Society of Transportation)

  • 제36권1호
  • /
  • Pages.1-12
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  • 2018
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  • 1229-1366(pISSN)
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  • 2234-4217(eISSN)
대한교통학회 (Korean Society of Transportation)
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교통온실가스 감축정책의 효과분석 방법론 연구

A Methodology for Evaluating the Effects of Transportation Policies Related to Greenhouse Gas Reduction

  • 이규진 (한국지능형교통체계협회 기술표준센터) ;
  • 이용주 (아주대학교 TOD기반 지속가능 도시교통연구센터) ;
  • 최기주 (아주대학교 교통시스템공학과)
  • LEE, Kyu Jin (Center for Technology & Standardization, ITS Korea) ;
  • YI, Yongju (TOD-based Sustainable City Transportation Research Center, Ajou University) ;
  • CHOI, Keechoo (Department of Transportation Systems Engineering, Ajou University)
  • 투고 : 2017.04.17
  • 심사 : 2017.12.20
  • 발행 : 2018.02.28
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초록

본 연구는 교통온실가스 감축목표 설정 및 효과적 이행계획 수립에 기여하기 위한 교통온실가스 감축정책의 정량적 효과분석 방법론 정립을 목적으로 한다. 본 연구는 실제 교통 배출 자료에 근거한 교통수단별 온실가스 배출 원단위 추정모형을 포함하여, 수단효용함수와 수요추정모형 등을 활용하고 있다. 연구결과, 전기차 등 온실가스 감축정책 효과는 지역과 대상차종 등에 따라 다양하게 도출될 수 있으며, 저예산 정책인 에코드라이브 활성화 정책은 높은 온실가스 감축효과를 기대할 수 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 또한 자동차 배출개선 정책 뿐 아니라 대중교통 이용활성화 정책도 높은 온실가스 감축효과를 기대할 수 있으며, 본 연구는 이러한 사실을 정량적으로 확인하고 있다. 본 연구결과는 신기후체제 대응을 위한 국가 및 지자체의 온실가스 감축정책 평가에 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

The purpose of this study is to establish a methodology for evaluating quantitative effects of transportation GHG (greenhouse gas) reduction-related policies that were implemented based on the reduction goals of transportation GHG and effective implementation plans. This study uses a modal utility function and demand estimation models as well as a GHG emission basic unit estimation model by each transportation mode based on actual traffic and emission data. The results showed that the effects of GHG reduction policies such as electric vary from region to region, and from vehicle to vehicle. It is also confirmed that an eco-drive promotion policy, one of the lowest budget policies, is expected to contribute to high reduction in GHG. In addition, not only automobile emission improvement policies but also the promotion policies of public transportation are expected to highly reduce GHG as confirmed quantitatively in this study. The results of this study are expected to be useful for national and local governments' evaluation of GHG reduction policies to cope with the post 2020.

키워드

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