Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology

  • 제13권2호
  • /
  • Pages.559-567
  • /
  • 2018
  • /
  • 1975-0102(pISSN)
  • /
  • 2093-7423(eISSN)
대한전기학회 (The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Smart Air Condition Load Forecasting based on Thermal Dynamic Model and Finite Memory Estimation for Peak-energy Distribution

  • 투고 : 2016.12.02
  • 심사 : 2017.09.26
  • 발행 : 2018.03.01
PDF 다운로드
⟨ 이전 논문 다음 논문 ⟩

초록

In this paper, we propose a new load forecasting method for smart air conditioning (A/C) based on the modified thermodynamics of indoor temperature and the unbiased finite memory estimator (UFME). Based on modified first-order thermodynamics, the dynamic behavior of indoor temperature can be described by the time-domain state-space model, and an accurate estimate of indoor temperature can be achieved by the proposed UFME. In addition, a reliable A/C load forecast can be obtained using the proposed method. Our study involves the experimental validation of the proposed A/C load forecasting method and communication construction between DR server and HEMS in a test bed. Through experimental data sets, the effectiveness of the proposed estimation method is validated.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. D. M. Han and J. H. Lim, "Design and Implementation of Smart Home Energy Management Systems based on Zigbee," IEEE Trans. Consumer Elect., vol. 56, no. 3, pp. 1417-1425, Oct.2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCE.2010.5606278
  2. G. T. Costanzo, G. Zhu, M. F. Anjos, and G. Savard, "A System Architecture for Autonomous Demand Side Load Management in Smart Buildings," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 3, no. 4, Dec.2012.
  3. A. Mohsenian-Rad and A. Leon-Garcia, "Optimal Residential Load Control with Price Prediction in Real-Time Electricity Pricing Environments," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 120-133, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2010.2055903
  4. J. S. Han, C.S. Choi, and W.K Park, "Smart home energy management system including renewable energy based on Zigbee and PLC," IEEE Trans. Consumer Electron., vol. 60, no. 2, pp. 198-202, 2014. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCE.2014.6851994
  5. Y. S. Son and K. D. Moon, "Home energy management system based on power line communication," IEEE Trans. Consumer Elect., vol. 56, no. 3, pp. 1380-1386, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCE.2010.5606273
  6. C. Chen, W. Jianhui, and H. Yeonsook, "MPC-based appliance scheduling for residential building energy management controller," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 1401-1410, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2013.2265239
  7. J. S. Byun, I.S. Hong, B. K. Kang, and S. H. Park, "A smart energy distribution and management system for renewable energy distribution and context-aware services based on user patterns and load forecasting," IEEE Trans. Consumer Elect., vol. 57, no. 2, pp. 436- 444, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCE.2011.5955177
  8. P. Du and N. Lu, "Appliance commitment for household load scheduling," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 411-419, 2011. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2011.2140344
  9. A. Mohsenian-Rad, V. Wong, J. Jatskevich, R. Schober, and A. Leon-Garcia, "Autonomous demandside management based on game-theoretic energy consumption scheduling for the future smart grid," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 320-331, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2010.2089069
  10. J. Contreras, R. Espinola, F. Nogales, and A. Conejo, "Arima models to predict next-day electricity prices," IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 1014- 1020, 2003. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2002.804943
  11. D. M. Han and J. H. Lim, "Smart home energy management system using IEEE 802.15.4 and Zigbee," IEEE Trans. Consumer Electron., vol. 56, no. 3, pp. 1403-1410, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCE.2010.5606276
  12. P. Areekul, T. Senjyu, H. Toyama, and A. Yona, "A Hybrid ARIMA and Neural Network Model for Short-term Forecasting in Deregulated Market," IEEE Trans. Power System, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 524- 530, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2009.2036488
  13. Y. Chen, P. B. Luh, C. Guan, Y. Zhao, L. D. Michel, M. A. Coolbeth, P. B. Friedland, and S. J. Rourkem "Short-Term Load Forecasting: Similar Day-Based Wave-let Neural Networks," IEEE Trans. Power Systems, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 322-330, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2009.2030426
  14. B. Li and A. G. Alleyne, "Optimal On-Off Control of an Air Conditioning and Refrigeration System," in Proceeding of Amer. Control Conference, pp. 5892- 5897, 2010.
  15. D. Bargiotas and J. Birdwell, "Residential air conditioner dynamic model for direct load control," IEEE Trans. Power Del., pp. 2119-2126, 1988.
  16. Z. Yu, L. Jia, M. C. Murphy-Hoye, A. Pratt, and L. Tong, "Modeling and Stochastic Control for Home Energy Management," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 2244-2255, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2013.2279171
  17. M. A. A. Pedrasa, T. D. Spooner, and I. F. MacGill, "Coordinated scheduling of residential distributed energy resources to optimize smart home energy services," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 134-143, 2010. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2010.2053053
  18. C. K. Ahn, "Robustness bound for receding horizon finite memory control: Lyapunov-Krasovskii approach," International Journal of Control, vol. 85, no. 7, pp. 942-949, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207179.2012.669849
  19. C. K. Ahn, S. Han, and W. H. Kwon, "$H_{\infty}$ FIR filters for linear continuous time state-space systems," IEEE Signal Process. Letter, vol. 13, no. 9, pp. 557-560, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1109/LSP.2006.874448
  20. C. K. Ahn, S. Han, and W. H. Kwon, "$H_{\infty}$ finite memory controls for linear discrete-time state-space models," IEEE Trans. Circuits and Systems II, vol. 54, no. 2, pp. 97-101, 2007. https://doi.org/10.1109/TCSII.2006.883822
  21. Y. S. Shmaliy, "Unbiased FIR filtering of discretetime polynomial states pace models," IEEE Trans. Signal Processing, vol. 57, no. 4, pp. 1241-1249, 2009. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSP.2008.2010640
  22. J. M. Pak, C. K. Ahn, C. J. Lee, P. Shi, M. T. Lim, and M. K. Song, "Fuzzy horizon group shift FIR filtering for nonlinear systems with Takagi Sugeno model," Neurocomputing, vol. 174, pp. 1013-1020, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neucom.2015.10.029
  23. J. M. Pak, C. K. Ahn, Y. S. Shmaliy, P. Shi, and M. T. Lim, "Switching extensible FIR filter bank for adaptive horizon state estimation with application," IEEE Trans. Control Systems Technology, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 1089-1098, 2015.
  24. J. M. Pak, C. K. Ahn, Y. S. Shmaliy, and M. T. Lim, "Improving Reliability of Particle Filter-based Localization in Wireless Sensor Networks via Hybrid Particle/FIR Filtering," IEEE Trans. Industrial Informatics, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 1089-1098, 2015. https://doi.org/10.1109/TII.2015.2462771
  25. M. A. Piette, J. Granderson, M. Wetter, and S. Kiliccote, "Intelligent building energy information and control systems for low-energy operations and optimal demand response," IEEE Design & Test of Computer, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 8-16, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1109/MDT.2012.2204720
  26. K. M. Tsui and S. C. Chan, "Demand response optimization for smart home scheduling under realtime pricing," IEEE Trans. Smart Grid, vol. 3, no. 4, pp. 1812-1821, 2012. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSG.2012.2218835
  27. S. Gokay, M. C. Beutel, H. Ketabdar, and K. H. Krempels, "Connecting smart grid protocol standards: A mapping model between commonly used demandresponse protocols OpenADR and MIRABEL," in Proceedings of 4th International Conference on Smart Cities and Green ICT Systems. 2015.
  28. S. Y. Son, S Koh, D. M. Son, D. Y. Hwang, and Y. H. Kim, "A system model expansion for smart appliance demand response based on SEP 2.0," in Proceedings IEEE International Conference on Consumer Electronics, pp. 534-535, 2015.
  29. M. Tariq, Z. Zhou, J. Wu, M. Macuha, and T. Sato, "Smart grid standards for home and building automation," in Proceedings IEEE International Conference on Power System Technology, 2012.
  30. G. Ghatikar and R. Bienert, "Smart grid standards and systems interoperability: a precedent with Open ADR," in Proceedings Grid-Interop Forum, 2011.
  31. S. H. You, J. M. Pak, C. K. Ahn, P. Shi, and M. T. Lim, "Unbiased Finite-Memory Digital Phase- Locked Loop," IEEE Trans. Circuit and System, vol. 63, no. 8, pp. 798-802, 2016.
  32. S. Zhao, Y. S. Shmaliy, and F. Liu, "Fast Kalman- Like Optimal Unbiased FIR Filtering with Application," IEEE Trans. Signal Processing, vol. 64, no. 9, pp. 2284-2297, 2016. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSP.2016.2516960