Journal of Energy Engineering (에너지공학)

The Korean Society for Energy (한국에너지학회)
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A Comparative Analysis on the Economic Effects Between New and Renewable- and Thermal- Power Generation in Korea

한국 신재생에너지발전과 화력발전의 경제적 파급효과 비교분석

  • Kang, Ji Eun (Dept. of Energy Policy, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Lee, Jung Ho (Dept. of Energy Policy, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Park, Jung Gu (Dept. of Energy Policy, Seoul National University of Science and Technology)
  • 강지은 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과) ;
  • 이중호 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과) ;
  • 박중구 (서울과학기술대학교 에너지환경대학원 에너지정책학과)
  • Received : 2017.08.18
  • Accepted : 2017.09.15
  • Published : 2017.09.30
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Abstract

Paris Agreement on Climate Change(2015) requires to reduce the greenhouse gas emission. One of the responses to the requirement is to change the proportion of power generation, which is summarized to the decrease in thermal power and the increase in new and renewable power. This article conducts a comparative analysis on the economic effects between thermal- and new and renewable- power generations, using the Input-Output Table from The Bank of Korea. The results of this analysis show that the new and renewable power generation has got the larger effects in production-inducing, value-added-inducing, employment-inducing, and supply-shortage scopes, while the smaller effect in price-pervasive scope than the thermal power generation. According to these results, the complex consideration should be taken into when the changes in power generation mix are tried. Especially, the political efforts to reduce the supply-shortage effect of new and renewable power and the price-pervasive effect of thermal power will be important.

2015년 파리 기후변화협약 이후 온실가스 배출량 감축의 중요성이 증대되는 가운데, 화력발전의 비중 축소와 신재생에너지 발전의 비중 확대가 예상되면서 그 경제적 파급효과에 대해 논의되고 있다. 본 논문은 한국은행의 2014년 산업연관표를 활용하여 두 발전원 간 생산유발효과, 부가가치유발효과, 취업유발효과, 공급지장효과, 물가파급효과 등을 비교분석하였다. 분석의 결과, 신재생에너지 발전이 생산, 부가가치, 취업, 공급지장 등에서 파급효과가 화력발전보다 큰 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 물가파급효과에서는 신재생에너지 발전이 화력발전보다 작은 것으로 분석되었다. 신재생에너지 발전과 화력발전 간 전력생산에 있어서 비중의 변화를 모색할 때, 이러한 효과들을 종합적으로 살펴볼 필요가 있다. 특히 신재생에너지 발전의 공급지장효과와 화력발전의 물가파급효과를 낮추는 정책적 노력이 중요할 것으로 예상된다. 향후 국민경제 전체의 안정화를 도모할 수 있는 실효적 전원구성에 대해 추가적 분석이 필요하다.

Keywords

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