Health Policy and Management (보건행정학회지)

Korean Academy of Health Policy and Management (한국보건행정학회)
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A Comparative Analysis for Projection Models of the Physician Demand and Supply Among 5 Countries

주요 국가 의사인력 수급 추계방법론 비교분석

  • Seo, Kyung Hwa (Research Institute for Healthcare Policy, Korean Medical Association) ;
  • Lee, Sun Hee (Department of Preventive Medicine, Ewha Womans University School of Medicine)
  • 서경화 (대한의사협회 의료정책연구소) ;
  • 이선희 (이화여자대학교 의과대학 예방의학교실)
  • Received : 2016.12.05
  • Accepted : 2017.01.24
  • Published : 2017.03.31
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Abstract

Background: In Korea, the problem of physician workforce imbalances has been a debated issue for a long time. This study aimed to draw key lessons and policy implications to Korea by analyzing projection models of physician demand/supply among five countries. Methods: We adopted theoretical framework and analyzed detail indicators used in projection models of demand/supply comparatively among countries. A systematic literature search was conducted using PubMed and Google Scholar with key search terms and it was complimented with hand searching of grey literature in Korean or English. Results: As a results, Korea has been used a supply-based traditional approach without taking various variables or environmental factors influencing on demand/supply into consideration. The projection models of USA and Netherlands which considered the diversity of variables and political issues is the most closest integrated approach. Based on the consensus of stakeholder, the evolved integrated forecasting approach which best suits our nation is needed to minimize a wasteful debate related to physician demand/supply. Also it is necessary to establish the national level statistics indices and database about physician workforce. In addition, physician workforce planning will be discussed periodically. Conclusion: We expect that this study will pave the way to seek reasonable and developmental strategies of physician workforce planning.

Keywords

References

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