해양환경안전학회지 (Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety)

  • 제23권1호
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  • Pages.9-16
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  • 2017
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  • 1229-3431(pISSN)
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  • 2287-3341(eISSN)
해양환경안전학회 (The Korean Society of Marine Environment and safety)
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부산 북항·감천항의 위험화물운반선 통항패턴에 관한 연구

A Study on the Traffic Patterns of Dangerous Goods Carriers in Busan North and Gamcheon Port

  • 투고 : 2016.12.28
  • 심사 : 2017.02.25
  • 발행 : 2017.02.28
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초록

우리나라 주요 항만의 입출항 통항패턴을 연구하기 위한 사전 연구로서, 부산항에 입 출항하는 위험화물운반선의 통항량을 항만운영정보시스템(Port Management Information Systim, Port-MIS) 자료를 이용하여 사전 조사하고, 통항량이 가장 높은 각 계절별 연속 3일을 선별하였다. 해양안전종합정보시스템(General Information Center on Maritime Safety & Security, GICOMS) 자료를 이용하여 선별된 12일간 위험화물운반선의 부산항 주요 통항로의 통항 패턴을 분석하였다. 또한 주요 입출항 지점인 북항 오륙도 방파제와 감천항 동방파제의 위험 화물운반선의 통항 이격거리를 분석하였다. 항로 단면에서 선박의 궤적이 정규분포를 이룬다는 가정을 근거로 해상교통안전진단 등에서 정규분포의 누적 확률분포 함수를 이용하여 충돌확률을 추정하여 사용하고 있지만, 오륙도 방파제 입출항 및 감천항 동방파제 입항에서의 선박의 항해 궤적은 KS-test 및 SW-test를 이용한 정규성 검정결과 정규분포를 따르지 않는 것으로 평가되었다. 특히 북항에서는 선박의 우측통항 경향이 두드러지게 나타났다. 일반적인 통항이론의 적용보다는 항만의 특성에 맞는 통항모델을 개발하여, 해상교통안전진단 등에서 적용하는 것이 바람직하여 이에 대한 후속연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

As a preliminary study of enter or leaving traffic patterns of the Korea main port, port Management Information System (Port-MIS) data was used to check the volume of vessels entering and leaving the port of Busan, and three consecutive days from each seasons were selected for study. Selected 12-day General Information Center on Maritime Safety & Security (GICOMS) data was also used to analyze the traffic pattern in the main traffic lane of Busan port for dangerous goods carrier. Also, the distance between dangerous goods carriers and Oryukdo breakwater of east breakwater in the main traffic lane was analyzed. Collision probability was estimated using the cumulative probability distribution function of the normal distribution for the maritime traffic safety audit scheme based on the assumption that a ship's trajectory has a normal distribution for a section of the route. However, in case of entry or leaving thorough the Oryukdo breakwater and entry thorough the east breakwater, ship's sailing trajectories were revealed not to follow a normal distribution via regularity testing using a KS-test and SW-test. Especially in the north port, the tendency of the right side of the ship to pass was remarkable. It is desirable to develop a traffic model suitable for the characteristics of the port rather than to apply general traffic theories, and to apply this model to a maritime traffic safety diagnosis, so further research is needed.

키워드

참고문헌

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