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K-IFRS Reconciliations and Predicting Future Earnings

K-IFRS 도입 시점의 전환조정이 이후 기간의 미래이익 예측력에 미치는 영향

  • Ji, Sang-Hyun (Division of Business & Commerce, Baekseok University) ;
  • Kwak, Young-Min (College of Business Administration, Ulsan University)
  • Received : 2017.11.02
  • Accepted : 2017.12.20
  • Published : 2017.12.28

Abstract

This Study analyzes the predictability of accounting information from mandatory K-IFRS adoption using the K-IFRS reconciliations information. We use the sample of 2,557 firm-year Korea listed companies belonging to non-financial corporate sector during 2010-2016. Specifically, we examine whether K-IFS reconciliation would improve or reduce the predicting power for future earnings after K-IFRS adoption. The results of empirical analyses show that reconciliation information from discretionary judgement tend to reduce the predicting power of K-IFRS based accounting earnings for future earnings. This result indicates that managers are likely to use the adjustments process to reconcile K-GAAP accounting numbers with corresponding K-IFRS as means to realize the various private utility. This study is expected to provide useful information by suggesting the need for more rigid screening schemes for the K-IFRS reconciliation process and also for adequate measures to be taken to ensure that the interests of the outside investors are properly protected.

본 연구는 한국채택국제회계기준(이하 K-IFRS)의 최초 도입시점에 발생한 회계수치의 전환조정이 그 이후 기간에 K-IFRS에 근거하여 작성된 보고이익의 미래이익예측 능력에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 검토하고자 한다. 이를 위해, 2010년부터 2016년까지의 표본기간 동안 총 2,557개의 표본을 이용하여 K-IFRS 도입과정에서 경영자가 재량적으로 전환 조정을 수행한 것으로 의심되는 기업집단에서 K-IFRS에 따라 작성된 보고이익의 질이 악화되는 경향이 있는가를 이익예측모형을 통해 확인하였다. 분석결과, K-IFRS 도입 시점에 비정상적으로 과도한 전환조정수치를 나타낸 기업집단에서 그 이후 K-IFRS에 근거하여 보고한 이익의 차기 이익 예측능력이 대응집단에 비해 낮은 경향을 보이고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또, 이러한 결과가 다양한 추가분석을 통해서도 강건하게 지지되고 있음을 확인하였다. 이러한 결과는 모두 K-IFRS 도입 시점에 경영자가 자신이 지닌 회계적 재량권을 남용하거나 오용하였을 경우 향후 보고이익의 미래이익 예측능력 즉, 재무보고의 목적적합성이 저하될 수 있음을 시사한다.

Keywords

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