자원ㆍ환경경제연구 (Environmental and Resource Economics Review)

한국자원경제학회 (Korean Resource Economics Association)
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농촌 주거지 개발 수요에 대한 사회경제적 요인 및 산림환경의 영향 분석

Effects of Socioeconomic Factors and Forest Environments on Demand for Rural Residential Development

  • 이요한 (영남대학교 새마을국제개발학과) ;
  • 지성태 (한국농촌경제연구원 FTA 이행지원센터)
  • Lee, Yohan (Saemaul Studies & International Development, Yeungnam University) ;
  • Ji, Seongtae (Farmer Service Center for FTA Implementation, Korea Rural Economic Institute)
  • 투고 : 2016.04.14
  • 심사 : 2016.06.20
  • 발행 : 2016.06.30
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초록

이 연구에서는 미국의 북중부 7개주를 대상으로 농촌 주거지 개발에 영향을 미치는 주요 인자들을 분석하였다. 특히, 사회경제적 요인들과 산림유형에 따른 산림환경특성을 주거지 개발의 주요 요인으로 고려하여 상대적 중요도를 살펴보았다. 먼저, 1950년 이후 미 북중부 지역에서 나타난 인구변화에 대한 실증모델을 개발하였고, 고정효과 패널모델을 이용하여 인구변화에 영향을 미치는 주요 인자들을 분석하였다. 연령별로 인구변화패턴과 거주지를 선택하는 선호 요인이 상이하게 나타나기 때문에, 실증모형을 구성할 때 연령별로 모형을 설정하였다. 다음단계로, 인구변화에 영향을 미치는 요인들이 소득과 같은 가변요인 뿐 아니라 단기간에 거의 변화가 없는 지역의 특수한 환경 요인들을 포함할 것이라는 가정하에, 패널모형의 고정효과 값을 종속변수로 설정하여 각 카운티별 인구증감의 차이가 산림환경, 수자원 등 시간불변변수들에 의해 영향을 받는 것으로 설정하여 횡단면적 모델을 추정하였다. 마지막으로, 농촌 지역의 주거지 수요를 설명하는 모델을 추정하였다. 연구결과, 이주자의 나이가 주거지 선정에 영향을 미치는 핵심 인자로 나타났고, 특히 사회경제적 요인 뿐 아니라 산림유형, 수자원 등 환경 어메니티가 주거지 수요에 미치는 상대적 중요도도 나이 계층별로 상이한 것으로 나타났다.

This study investigates the effects of economic factors and forest environments on rural residential area development in seven north central states of the U.S. by focusing on the relative importance of not only economic factors but also forest environments by forest type as core drivers of residential development. An empirical model of locations and magnitudes of population changes since 1950 in the north central region is first constructed, and then a panel model with fixed effects for counties is used to explain population growth by age group over time at the county level. Then a set of three equations is estimated for three major age groups, and a cross-sectional model is estimated for the last time period that regresses county-level environmental amenity variables on fixed effects coefficients for counties. Finally, an equation explaining changes in rural housing density is estimated. The results imply that immigrant age is a key factor influencing the choice of the place of residence and that the effects of environmental amenity factors on population growth and subsequent housing development in a county vary according to the age group.

키워드

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피인용 문헌

  1. A New Residential Role for the Rural Environment in Extremadura, Spain vol.11, pp.2, 2019, https://doi.org/10.3390/su11020435