Journal of Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회논문집)

Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회)
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Regional frequency analysis using spatial data extension method : II .Flood frequency inference for ungaged watersheds

공간확장자료를 이용한 지역빈도분석 : II. 미계측 유역의 홍수빈도 추론

  • Kim, Nam Won (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Lee, Jeong Eun (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Lee, Jeongwoo (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology) ;
  • Jung, Yong (Civil and Environmental Engineering, Wonkwang University)
  • 김남원 (한국건설기술연구원 수자원.하천연구소) ;
  • 이정은 (한국건설기술연구원 수자원.하천연구소) ;
  • 이정우 (한국건설기술연구원 수자원.하천연구소) ;
  • 정용 (원광대학교 토목환경공학과)
  • Received : 2016.03.11
  • Accepted : 2016.04.08
  • Published : 2016.05.31
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Abstract

In order to infer regional flood frequency for ungauged watersheds, index flood method was applied for this study. To pursuit this given purpose, annual peak flood data for 22 watersheds located at the upstream of the Chungju Dam watershed were obtained from the spatial extension technique. The regionalization of mean annual flood was performed from extended flood data at 22 points. Based on the theory that flood discharge and watershed size follows the power law the regionalization generated the empirical relationship. These analyses were executed for the full size of the Chungju Dam watershed as one group and three different mid-size watersheds groups. From the results, the relationship between mean annual flood and watershed sizes follow the power law. We demonstrated that it is appropriate to use the relationship between specific flood discharges from the upper and lower watersheds in terms of estimating the floods for the ungaged watersheds. Therefore, not only the procedure of regional frequency analysis but also regionalizaion analaysis using finer discretization of the regions interest with respect to the regional frequency analyisis for the ungauged watersheds is important.

본 연구에서는 미계측유역에서의 빈도홍수량을 추정하기 위해 지역홍수빈도분석의 표준방법인 지수홍수법을 이용하였다. 이를 위해 충주댐 상류유역을 대상으로 공간확장한 22개 지점의 연최대홍수량 자료을 활용하였으며, 구축된 다지점의 자료계열을 이용하여 지수홍수법의 주요인자인 평균홍수량의 지역화 과정를 수행하였다. 지역화를 위한 방법으로는 홍수량과 유역면적과의 관계가 멱함수 법칙(power law)를 따른다는 이론에 근거한 경험관계를 유도하였다. 충주댐 상류유역 전체를 하나의 그룹, 3개의 중권역을 각각 하나의 그룹으로 구분하여 분석하였다. 도출된 결과에 따르면 평균홍수량과 유역면적과의 관계를 멱함수 법칙으로 설명할 수 있었다. 또한, 미계측 지점의 홍수량 추정시에는 가까운 계측지점 즉, 직상하류 유역의 비유량의 관계를 사용하는 것이 타당함을 증명하였다. 따라서, 미계측 유역을 위한 지역빈도해석은 지역홍수빈도해석 절차 자체도 중요하지만, 지역의 세밀한 구분과 그에 따른 지역화 경험관계 개발과정도 중요한 절차임을 확인할 수 있었다.

Keywords

References

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