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국가주력산업 선정을 위한 산업의 중심성 분석

Centrality Analysis of Industry Sector for National Flagship Industry Selection

  • 김성록 (공주대학교 지역사회개발학부) ;
  • 이종상 (공주대학교 지역사회개발학부)
  • 투고 : 2015.08.21
  • 심사 : 2016.01.05
  • 발행 : 2016.01.31

초록

일관된 산업정책을 추진하기 위해서는 국가의 산업구조에 대한 분석이 필수적이다. 전통적으로 각 국가들은 주력산업을 선정하여 이에 대한 지원과 관리를 통한 경제 활성화를 위하여 노력한다. 주력산업은 해당산업의 발전파급효과가 크고, 국민경제의 중심이 되는 산업을 선정기준으로 한다. 여기서 파급효과는 전후방연쇄효과를 분석하여 도출할 수 있으나, 국민경제의 중심이 되는 산업의 경우 각 연구자마다 상이한 방법으로 분석하였다. 이에 따라 동일 시기임에도 불구하고 주력산업이 일치되지 못하는 경우가 빈번하였다. 이 연구에서는 국민경제의 중심이 되는 산업을 분석하는 방법으로 네트워크분석의 위세중심성을 제시하고 그 실증분석으로 2013년 산업연관표를 활용하여 연구를 수행하였다. 분석결과, 경제활동에 필수적인 동력산업, 운송업과 같은 타산업의 발전과 함께 시너지 효과를 낼 수 있는 산업, 전자 화학과 같은 수출 및 고용이 높은 산업, 도매 및 소매업 음식점 및 주점업과 같은 내수산업 등이 중심성이 높은 산업으로 분석되었다.

The selection of a flagship industry is based on whether the industry's developmental impact is great and whether the industry can be the center of the national economy. Here, a ripple effect may be derived by analyzing the forward and backward linkage effects, but in the case of industries that are the centerpieces of the national economy, each researcher reported different results. Consequently, they could not agree on their flagship industry despite belonging to the same time. This study presents a prestige centrality of network analysis as a way of analyzing an industry, which was the center of the national economy, and performed empirical analysis utilizing the 2013 I-O Table. The analysis showed that the industries classified as those with high centrality include the energy industry, which is essential for economic development, can create a synergy effect with other industries, such as the transportation industry, industries with a high level of export and employment, such as electronics and chemicals, and industries for domestic demand, such as wholesale and retail, food services and accommodation.

키워드

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