DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Dynamic risk assessment of water inrush in tunnelling and software development

  • Li, L.P. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University) ;
  • Lei, T. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University) ;
  • Li, S.C. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University) ;
  • Xu, Z.H. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University) ;
  • Xue, Y.G. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University) ;
  • Shi, S.S. (Geotechnical & Structural Engineering Research Center, Shandong University)
  • 투고 : 2014.11.14
  • 심사 : 2015.03.19
  • 발행 : 2015.07.25

초록

Water inrush and mud outburst always restricts the tunnel constructions in mountain area, which becomes a major geological barrier against the development of underground engineering. In view of the complex disaster-causing mechanism and difficult quantitative predictions of water inrush and mud outburst, several theoretical methods are adopted to realize dynamic assessment of water inrush in the progressive process of tunnel construction. Concerning both the geological condition and construction situation, eleven risk factors are quantitatively described and an assessment system is developed to evaluate the water inrush risk. In the static assessment, the weights of eight risk factors about the geological condition are determined using Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Each factor is scored by experts and the synthesis scores are weighted. The risk level is ultimately determined based on the scoring outcome which is derived from the sum of products of weights and comprehensive scores. In the secondary assessment, the eight risk factors in static assessment and three factors about construction situation are quantitatively analyzed using fuzzy evaluation method. Subordinate levels and weight of factors are prepared and then used to calculate the comprehensive subordinate degree and risk level. In the dynamic assessment, the classical field of the eleven risk factors is normalized by using the extension evaluation method. From the input of the matter-element, weights of risk factors are determined and correlation analysis is carried out to determine the risk level. This system has been applied to the dynamic assessment of water inrush during construction of the Yuanliangshan tunnel of Yuhuai Railway. The assessment results are consistent with the actual excavation, which verifies the rationality and feasibility of the software. The developed system is believed capable to be back-up and applied for risk assessment of water inrush in the underground engineering construction.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Beard, A.N. (2010), "Tunnel safety, risk assessment and decision-making", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 25(1), 91-94. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2009.07.006
  2. Bukowski, P. (2011), "Water hazard assessment in active shafts in upper silesian coal basin mines", Mine Water Environ., 30(4), 302-311. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10230-011-0148-2
  3. Choi, H.H., Cho, H.N. and Seo, J.W. (2004), "Risk assessment methodology for underground construction projects", J. Construct. Eng. Manage., 130(2), 258-272. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2004)130:2(258)
  4. Ding, L.Y. and Zhou, C. (2013), "Development of web-based system for safety risk early warning in urban metro construction", Automat. Constr., 34, 45-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2012.11.001
  5. Duddeck, H. (1996), "Challenges to tunnelling engineers", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 11(1), 5-10. https://doi.org/10.1016/0886-7798(96)84164-2
  6. Einstein, H.H. (1996), "Risk and risk analysis in rock engineering", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 11(2), 141-155. https://doi.org/10.1016/0886-7798(96)00014-4
  7. Eskesen, S.D., Tengborg, P., Kampmann, J. and Veicherts, T.H. (2004), "Guidelines for tunnelling risk management: International Tunnelling Association, Working Group No. 2", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 19(3), 217-237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2004.01.001
  8. Fouladgar, M.M., Yazdani-Chamzini, A. and Zavadskas, E.K. (2012), "Risk evaluation of tunneling projects", Arch. Civil Mech. Eng., 12(1), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.acme.2012.03.008
  9. Jiang, A.N., Wang, S.Y. and Tang, S.L. (2011), "Feedback analysis of tunnel construction using a hybrid arithmetic based on Support Vector Machine and Particle Swarm Optimisation", Automat. Constr., 20(4), 482-489. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2010.11.016
  10. Karwowski, W.A. (1986), "Applications of approximate reasoning in risk analysis", In: Applications of Fuzzy Set Theory in Human Factors, (Waldmar and Anil Mital Ed.), Elsevier, New York, NY, USA, pp. 227-243.
  11. Kong, W.K. (2011), "Water ingress assessment for rock tunnels: A tool for risk planning", Rock Mech. Rock Eng., 44(6), 755-765. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00603-011-0163-4
  12. Li, L.P. (2009), "Study on catastrophe evolution of karst water inrush and its engineering application of high risk karst tunnel", Ph.D. Dissertation; Shandong University, Jinan, China.
  13. Li, L.P., Lei, T., Li, S.C., Zhang, Q.Q., Xu, Z.H. and Zhou, Z.Q. (2014), "Risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels and software development", Arabian J. Geosci., 8(4), 1843-1854. DOI: 10.1007/s12517-014-1365-3 (March 25, 2014).
  14. Li, S.C., Xue, Y.G., Zhang, Q.S., Li, S.C., Li, L.P., Sun, K.G., Ge, Y.H., Su, M.X., Zhong, S.H. and Li, X. (2008), "Key technology study on comprehensive prediction and early-warning of geological hazards during tunnel construction in high- risk karst areas", Chinese J. Rock Mech. Eng., 7, 1297-1307.
  15. Li, X.P. and Li, Y.N. (2014), "Research on risk assessment system for water inrush in the karst tunnel construction based on GIS: Case study on the diversion tunnel groups of the Jinping II Hydropower Station", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 40, 182-191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2013.10.005
  16. Matthias, S., Niels, P.H., Arild, R. and Harald, B. (2012), "Risk assessment of road tunnels using Bayesian networks", Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 48, 2697-2706. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2012.06.1239
  17. Merad, M.M., Verdel, T., Roy, B. and Kouniali, S. (2004), "Use of multi-criteria decision-aids for risk zoning and management of large area subjected to mining-induced hazards", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 19(2), 125-138. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0886-7798(03)00106-8
  18. Mohamed, E.T. (2003), "Circular tunnel in a semi-infinite aquifer", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 18(1), 49-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0886-7798(02)00102-5
  19. Saaty, T.L. (1979), "Applications of analytical hierarchies", Math Comput Simuin, 21(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1016/0378-4754(79)90101-0
  20. Saaty, T.L. (1990), "How to make a decision: the analytic hierarchy process", Eur. J. Oper. Res., 48(1), 9-26. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(90)90057-I
  21. Shi, S.S., Li, S.C., Li, L.P., Zhou, Z.Q. and Wang, J. (2013), "Advance optimized classification and application of surrounding rock based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and Tunnel Seismic Prediction", Automat. Constr., 37, 217-222.
  22. Wang, Y., Yang, W.F., Li, M. and Liu, X. (2012), "Risk assessment of floor water inrush in coal mines based on secondary fuzzy comprehensive evaluation", Int. J. Rock Mech. Min. Sci., 52, 50-55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrmms.2012.03.006
  23. Xu, Z.H., Li, S.C., Li, L.P., Chen, J. and Shi, S.S. (2011), "Construction permit mechanism of karst tunnels based on dynamic assessment and management of risk", Chinese J. Geotech. Eng., 33(11), 1714-1725.
  24. Yoo, C., Jeon, Y.W. and Choi, B.S. (2006), "IT-based tunnelling risk management system (IT-TURISK) - Development and implementation", Tunn. Undergr. Space Technol., 21(2), 190-202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2005.05.002
  25. Zhang, Q.S., Li, S.C., Hang, H.W., Ge, Y.H., Liu, R.T. and Zhang, X. (2009), "Study on risk evaluation and water inrush disaster preventing technology during construction of karst tunnels", J. Shandong Univ. (Eng. Sci.), 39(3), 106-110.

피인용 문헌

  1. A multi-factor comprehensive risk assessment method of karst tunnels and its engineering application 2019, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10064-017-1214-1
  2. Numerical analysis of water flow characteristics after inrushing from the tunnel floor in process of karst tunnel excavation vol.10, pp.4, 2016, https://doi.org/10.12989/gae.2016.10.4.471
  3. Risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on a modified grey evaluation model: Sample as Shangjiawan Tunnel vol.11, pp.4, 2016, https://doi.org/10.12989/gae.2016.11.4.493
  4. Analysis of Pipe-Roof in Tunnel Exiting Portal by the Foundation Elastic Model vol.2017, 2017, https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/9387628
  5. Numerical Simulation on the Seepage Properties of Soil-Rock Mixture vol.2018, pp.1687-8442, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/1859319
  6. Fuzzy risk assessment of a deeply buried tunnel under incomplete information vol.5, pp.10, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180305
  7. A New Advance Classification Method for Surrounding Rock in Tunnels Based on the Set-Pair Analysis and Tunnel Seismic Prediction System vol.36, pp.4, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-018-0471-5
  8. Time-varying characteristics on migration and loss of fine particles in fractured mudstone under water flow scour vol.12, pp.5, 2019, https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-019-4286-3
  9. Combination of engineering geological data and numerical modeling results to classify the tunnel route based on the groundwater seepage vol.13, pp.4, 2017, https://doi.org/10.12989/gae.2017.13.4.671
  10. Study on Early Warning Method for Water Inrush in Tunnel Based on Fine Risk Evaluation and Hierarchical Advance Forecast vol.9, pp.9, 2019, https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences9090392
  11. Optimisation of Treatment Scheme for Water Inrush Disaster in Tunnels Based on Fuzzy Multi-criteria Decision-Making in an Uncertain Environment vol.44, pp.10, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1007/s13369-019-03827-5
  12. Risk assessment of water inrush in tunnels based on attribute interval recognition theory vol.27, pp.2, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11771-020-4313-2
  13. Risk Assessment of Tunnel Construction Based on Improved Cloud Model vol.34, pp.3, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)cf.1943-5509.0001421
  14. Modelling the coupled fracture propagation and fluid flow in jointed rock mass using FRACOD vol.22, pp.6, 2020, https://doi.org/10.12989/gae.2020.22.6.529
  15. Development and application of a floor failure depth prediction system based on the WEKA platform vol.23, pp.1, 2015, https://doi.org/10.12989/gae.2020.23.1.051