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SHALSTAB을 이용한 산사태 위험지 예측

The Prediction of Landslide Potential Area Using SHALSTAB

  • Jang, Hyeon Seok (Department of Forest Science, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Lee, Sang Hee (Department of Forest Science, Chungbuk National University) ;
  • Kim, Je Su (Department of Forest Science, Chungbuk National University)
  • 투고 : 2013.04.15
  • 심사 : 2013.06.24
  • 발행 : 2014.06.30

초록

최근 우리나라에서는 집중호우로 인하여 산사태의 발생이 증가하며 인명 및 재산피해가 늘고 있다. 본 연구에서는 산사태 발생에 직접적으로 영향을 주는 강우강도에 따른 산사태 위험지를 예측하고자 SHALSTAB(Shallow Landsliding Stability Model)을 이용하였다. SHALASTAB의 매개변수인 투수량계수의 값은 $19.58m^2/day$, 내부마찰각은 $36.3^{\circ}$, 포화단위중량은 $2.03t/m^3$로 결정되었다. 이러한 매개변수를 이용하여 구한 지형지수에 따라서 본 연구지역의 사면안정 상태를 무조건 안정, 안정, 불안정, 무조건 불안정의 4가지 형태로 구분하였다. SHALSTAB의 적용성을 평가하고자 기존에 발생하였던 263 mm 강우에서 사면이 불안정해지는 지역과 산사태 발생지에 대한 데이터베이스를 구축하여 이를 비교하였다. 정확도 검정 결과 85.1% 일치하였다. SHALSTAB을 이용하여 강우강도에 따른 산사태 발생 위험지역을 판별하는데 활용이 가능한 것으로 생각된다.

Landslides, one of earth's natural disasters, increase every year due to heavy rainfall, and cause damage to human life and assets. This study used the SHALSTAB to predict places at risk of landslides, in accordance with the intensity of rainfall. The parameter value of transmissivity was $19.58m^2/day$, the internal friction angle $36.3^{\circ}$, and the saturated unit weight $2.03t/m^3$. The slope stability status was classified into four categories, namely: unconditionally stable, stable, unstable and unconditionally unstable. In order to evaluate the applicability of the SHALSTAB, actual landslide areas were checked, with the unstable area under 263 mm rainfall. 85.1% of them were consistent. And so we can identify the distribution of places at risk of landslides, on the basis of the intensity of rainfall by means of SHALSTAB.

키워드

참고문헌

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피인용 문헌

  1. Development of Criteria for Zoning of Debris Flow Hazard Area(II) - The Comparison Between Estimated and Surveyed Values - vol.15, pp.2, 2015, https://doi.org/10.9798/KOSHAM.2015.15.2.197