Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering (산업경영시스템학회지)

Society of Korea Industrial and System Engineering (한국산업경영시스템학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Forecasting Model for Flood Risk at Bo Region

보 지역 홍수 위험도 예측모형 연구

  • Kwon, S.H. (Department of Statistics, Hannam University) ;
  • Oh, H.S. (Department of Industrial and Management Engineering, Hannam University)
  • 권세혁 (한남대학교 경상대학 비즈니스통계학과) ;
  • 오현승 (한남대학교 공과대학 산업경영공학과)
  • Received : 2014.01.27
  • Accepted : 2014.02.19
  • Published : 2014.03.31
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

During a flood season, Bo region could be easily exposed to flood due to increase of ground water level and the water drain difficulty even the water amount of Bo can be managed. GFI for the flood risk is measured by mean depth to water during a dry season and minimum depth to water and tangent degree during a flood season. In this paper, a forecasting model of the target variable, GFI and predictors as differences of height between ground water and Bo water, distances from water resource, and soil characteristics are obtained for the dry season of 2012 and the flood season of 2012 with empirical data of Gangjungbo and Hamanbo. Obtained forecasting model would be used for keep the value of GFI below the maximum allowance for no flooding during flooding seasons with controlling the values of significant predictors.

Keywords

References

  1. Anderson, T. and Darling, D., Asymptotic theory of certain goodness-of-fit criteria based on stochastic processes. Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1952, Vol. 23, p 193-212. https://doi.org/10.1214/aoms/1177729437
  2. Box, G. and Cox, D.R., An analysis of transformations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 1964, Vol. 26, No. 2, p 211-252.
  3. Kwon, S.H. and Oh, H.S., Construction of Observational Locations for Measuring Water Quality in River Area. Journal of Society of Korea Industrial and Systems Engineering, 2012, Vol. 35, No. 3, p 187-191.
  4. McCullagh, P. and Nelder, J.A., Generalized Linear Model, 2nd edition, Chapman and Hall/LRC, 1989.
  5. Sommer, T. and Ullrich, L., Influence of Flood Event 2002 on Groundwater. Research Report(in German). Environmental Office, City of Dresden, 68p., 2005.
  6. National Academy of Agricultural Science, Detailed Soil Map, 2013.
  7. http://www.riverguide.go.kr.
  8. Water, K. Research Report for Flood Risk at Bo Region, 2013.
  9. http://egis.me.go.kr.

Cited by

  1. AREA 활용 전력수요 단기 예측 vol.39, pp.1, 2014, https://doi.org/10.11627/jkise.2016.39.1.025
  2. 자연 재해로 인한 피해 경감을 위한 구호 물류 거점 계획에 대한 연구 vol.23, pp.3, 2014, https://doi.org/10.7838/jsebs.2018.23.3.051
  3. A Study on the Facility Planning under Natural Disaster vol.20, pp.4, 2020, https://doi.org/10.9798/kosham.2020.20.4.51