Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning (농촌계획)

Korean Society of Rural Planning (한국농촌계획학회)
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Regional Analysis of the Migration Patterns of Returning Farmers

귀농인의 지역별 이동패턴 분석

  • Jung, Jin Hwa (Dept. of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
  • Roh, Jae-Sun (Dept. of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, Research Institute for Agriculture and Life Sciences, Seoul National University) ;
  • Jang, Woncheol (Dept. of Statistics, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kim, Sae Bom (Graduate School, Seoul National University) ;
  • Yoon, Kee Youl (Graduate School, Seoul National University) ;
  • Kim, Junsik (Graduate School, Seoul National University)
  • 정진화 (서울대학교 농경제사회학부, 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 노재선 (서울대학교 농경제사회학부, 농업생명과학연구원) ;
  • 장원철 (서울대학교 통계학과) ;
  • 김새봄 (서울대학교 대학원) ;
  • 윤기열 (서울대학교 대학원) ;
  • 김준식 (서울대학교 대학원)
  • Received : 2014.11.07
  • Accepted : 2014.12.23
  • Published : 2014.12.30
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Abstract

초고령화된 한국 농촌에서 다양한 교육 및 직업 배경을 가진 중장년층 귀농인구의 유입은 고령화 문제에 대한 대안의 하나로 부각되고 있다. 본 연구는 농가 고령화에 대한 귀농인구의 잠재적인 기여도 측면에서 귀농인구의 지역별 유입 유출 패턴을 분석하였다. 분석에는 로그선형모형과 총합레퍼런스코딩을 사용하였고, 분석자료는 통계청의 2013년 귀농 통계이다. 분석결과에 의하면, 귀농인의 절반 정도가 수도권에서 비수도권 지역으로 이주한 인구이고, 이들을 제외하면 귀농인의 대부분은 원 거주지가 있던 도 내에서 이동하고 있다. 귀농인의 귀농 전 대비 귀농 후 지역 내 오즈비(odds ratio)는 지역별로 차이가 있으며, 귀농인의 성별과 연령에 따라서도 지역별 유입 유출패턴이 다르다. 이는 귀농인 유입의 긍정적 효과를 높이기 위해서는 지자체별 차이를 반영한 특화된 정책이 필요하다는 것을 의미한다.

Keywords

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