Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society

The Korean Data and Information Science Society (한국데이터정보과학회)
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Study on the defence R&D project risk analysis using AHP

AHP 기법을 이용한 국방연구개발사업 위험요인 분석에 관한 연구

  • Received : 2013.04.05
  • Accepted : 2013.05.13
  • Published : 2013.05.31
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Abstract

Risk management activity for successful defense R&D project should be done anticipatorily and consistently over the entire project period and there should be a priority for management depending on importance of the risk factors. In this study, we verified the reliability and validity through factor analysis for the risk factors selected by the Delphi technique. We also obtained the relative importance of risk factors with analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and decided to prioritize for comparison of domestic and overseas research. According to the study, we found that it is important to settle the requirements and to classify the scope of R&D. It is also considered significant to have reasonable schedule for completion and secure the necessary resources in the early stage of project. Unlike previous studies, it appeared the technical factors are critical elements as well for defense R&D project.

국방연구개발사업의 성공을 위한 위험관리 활동은 프로젝트 전기간에 걸쳐 선제적이고 지속적으로 이루어져야 하며, 특히 위험요인을 중요도에 따라 우선순위를 선정하여 관리해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 델파이 기법으로 선정된 위험요인에 대해 요인분석을 통해 신뢰성 및 타당성을 검증하였으며, 계층분석방법 (AHP)으로 위험요인의 상대적 중요도를 구하여 우선순위를 정하고 국내 외 연구와 비교하였다. 연구결과 프로젝트 초기에 요구사항의 확정, 명확한 연구개발 범위, 타당한 완료일정, 필요한 자원의 확보가 아주 중요하고, 기존의 연구와는 달리 국방연구개발사업에서는 기술적인 요인들도 중요하게 고려해야 함을 알 수 있었다.

Keywords

References

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