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수상함 개발에서 기술성숙도, 난이도 및 중요도 기반의 위험도 평가 방안

On a Risk Assessment Methodology based on the Technology Readiness Levels, Degrees of Difficulty, and Technology Need Values in the Development of Naval Surface Ships

  • 김경환 (국방기술품질원, 아주대학교 시스템공학과) ;
  • 이재천 (아주대학교 시스템공학과)
  • Kim, Kyong-Hwan (Defense Agency for Technology and Quality, Dept. of Systems Engineering, Ajou University) ;
  • Lee, Jae-Chon (Dept. of Systems Engineering, Ajou University)
  • 투고 : 2012.07.16
  • 심사 : 2012.09.04
  • 발행 : 2012.09.30

초록

The objective of this paper is to propose a method of how to perform risk assessment in the early stage of defense research and development for the acquisition of weapon systems. An advanced method for risk assessment and its associated objective functions are developed first based on the concept of systems engineering. The developed method is then applied to carry out the analysis of alternatives in the trade-off environments. As a case study, the multi-purpose training ship is considered, where it is performed using the notions of technology readiness levels, degrees of difficulty, and technology need values to facilitate design space visualization and decision maker interaction. It is noted that decision makers can benefit from our approach as an improved risk assessment method in the context of multi-criteria decision making.

키워드

참고문헌

  1. Judith S. Dahmann and Mike Kely(2009), Systems Engineering during the Material Solution Analysis and Technology Development phase, US DDR&E, pp. 2-6.
  2. US Department of Defense, "Risk Management Guidebook for DoD Acquisition", pp. 11-14, 2006.
  3. Mierzwicki, T., Brown A. J. (2004), "Risk Metric for Multi-Objective Design of naval ships", Naval Engineering Journal, Vol. 116, No. 2, pp. 55-71. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1559-3584.2004.tb00268.x
  4. Justin Strock, T., Brown A. J. (2008), "Methods for Naval Ship Concept and Propulsion Technology Exploration in a CGX Case Study", Naval Engineering Journal, pp. 103-104.
  5. Virginia Tech.(2008), Ballastic Missile Defense Submarine(SSBMD), Design Report, Virginia Tech., p. 35.
  6. US DoD(2009), Technology Readiness Assesment(TRA) deskbook, pp. B3-B4.
  7. Institute for Defense Analyses(2007), "How the S&T Community can best for the technology Readiness Assessment(TRA) process do's and don'ts", 2007 Technology Maturity Conference, p. 17.
  8. US General Accounting Office(1999), Better Management of Technology Development Can improve weapon system outcomes, pp. 4-5
  9. John C. Mankins(2009), "Technology readiness and risk assessments : A new approach", Science Direct, pp. 1210-1212.
  10. John C. Mankins(1998). "Research & Development Degree of Difficulty(RD3)" A White Paper, NASA, pp. 1-3.

피인용 문헌

  1. 무기체계 연구개발사업에서 기술적 위험지표 적용 가능성 분석 vol.20, pp.6, 2012, https://doi.org/10.9766/kimst.2017.20.6.835