The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration (수산경영론집)

The Korean Society of Fisheries Business Administration (한국수산경영학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Analysis of Prediction Supply of Fisheries Fuel in Korea

어업용 면세유류 사용량 예측에 관한 연구

  • 이광남 (한국수산회 수산정책연구소) ;
  • 정진호 (한국수산회 수산정책연구소)
  • Received : 2012.05.30
  • Accepted : 2012.06.20
  • Published : 2012.06.30
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

The tax exemption oil for fishery is expecting that the use of oil is gradually decreasing according to the environmental change such as reductions of vessel force caused by an upswing of oil prices and reduction of fishing vessels in the recent. Such reductions in the tax exemption oil amount have a negative effect on the tax exemption oil business and the fishery infrastructure. This paper studied to provide the basic data for a stable supply thorough the facts affected in the use of the tax exemption oil and the prediction for the use of the tax exemption oil in future. This analysis drew a estimation method by Cochrane-Orcutt repeated proceeding model with an object main factors such as a price of tax exemption oil and vessel force and international oil prices and exchange rates. And this analysis also drew the use of a tax exemption oil by 2000 after set up the scenario using an estimation method drawn. For the use of the estimated tax exemption oil analyzed to decrease within about 81 percent of the present(2020), It should be considering a stability plan for tax exemption oil for fishery in future.

Keywords

References

  1. 강연실.김대현,"어선 면세유류 공급기준량 산정에관한 연구", 수산경영론집, 제36권 제3호, 2005.12, pp.89-117.
  2. 군산대학교,"연안어선 감척사업 투자효과 분석 용역", 2010. 2.
  3. 김기영,"랜덤결손이 있는 이변량표본에서의 등분산성 가설에 대한 검정방법들의 비교", 1989, pp.33-45.
  4. 김정호.이광남,"어획노력이 어획량에 미치는 영향분석", 수산경영론집, 제39권 제1호, 2008. 6,pp.163-194.
  5. 김형준.김진, 면세유제도 개선에 관한 연구, 한국조세연구원, 2007.
  6. 박승제, 농업용 면세유 보급구조의 문제점과 개선방안,정책토론회 발표자료, 2009, pp.15-25.
  7. 박원석, 우리나라 어업용 면세유의 WTO 보조금협정 적합성에 관한 연구, 중앙대학교 법학연구소, 2007,pp.3-5.
  8. 송주호.배종하, WTO와 OECD에서의 농업보조금 논의동향, 농촌경제연구원, 2009.
  9. 수협중앙회, 어업경영조사보고, 각 연도.
  10. 수협중앙회, 유류공급사업요령, 2009.
  11. 이광남,"쉐퍼모형 응용을 통한 어로활동수준 검정",Ocean and Polar Research, 제31권 제2호, 2009. 6,pp.157-165 https://doi.org/10.4217/OPR.2009.31.2.157
  12. 이광남.정진호,"어업허가 일제정비제도 도입에 따른 효과분석", 수산경영론집, 제42권 제2호, 2011.9, pp.97-112.
  13. 이광남.정진호.최재욱,"지방어항개발의 투자결정요인 분석", Ocean and Polar Research, 제33권제4호, 2011. 12, pp.473-483. https://doi.org/10.4217/OPR.2011.33.4.473
  14. 전남대학교."근해어선 감척사업 제도개선에 관한연구용역", 2007. 12.
  15. 정명생 외,"기후 변화가 수산업에 미치는 영향",KMI 현안분석, 2007, pp.4-10.
  16. 정민정.장영주.김경민, WTO/DDA 수산보조금 협상대응방안-어업용 면세유를 중심으로, 국회입법조사처, 2010.
  17. 조명환.조진권.정경화, 주요국의 유류세 제도 및 세율 비교 분석, 한국조세연구원, 2008.
  18. 통계청, 국가통계포털(KOSIS), 어업생산통계
  19. 한국석유공사 석유정보망 홈페이지(www.petronet.co.kr).
  20. 한국수산회 수산정책연구소, 각국 제안서에 따른 WTO수산보조금 협상 대응전략 수립, 2005.
  21. 한국수산회 수산정책연구소, 대외환경변화를 고려한안정적 면세유류 공급, 2011.
  22. Allied Technology Group, Inc. Model Quality Audit Report : Final Report-Oil and Gas Supply Module, 1996.
  23. American Petroleum Institute. Joint Association Survey on Drilling Costs, Finance, Accounting, and Statistics Department, Washington D.C. 1990-2005.
  24. Erickson, E.W., Millsaps, S.W., and Spann, R.M. Oil Supply and Tax Incentives, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Vol.2, 1974.
  25. FAO, FAO Expert Workshop on Climate Change Implications for Fisheries and Aquaculture, 2008.
  26. Gas Research Institute : A Baseline Projection Data Book-1997 Edition of the GRI Baseline Projection of US Energy Supply and Demand to 2015, Gas Research Institute, Baseline/Gas Resource Analytical Center, 1996.
  27. Gong Y. and Y. S. Suh, Effect of the environmental conditions on the structure and distribution of Pacific saury in the Tsushima Warm Current region. J. of the Environmental Sciences, 2003.
  28. R. J. Beamish, G. A. McFarlane, J. R. King, Fisheries Climatology: understanding decadal scale processes that naturally regulate British Columbia fish populations. In : Fisheries Oceanography (Harrison P J, Parsons T R Eds.). Blackwell Science, London, 2000.
  29. S. Manabe, R. J. Stouffer, Two stable equilibria of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. J. climate, Vol.1, 1998.
  30. S. Minobe, Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific : Role in climatic regime shifts. Geophys Res Lett. Vol.26, 1999.

Cited by

  1. Fuel Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Offshore Fisheries of the Republic of Korea vol.10, pp.8, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0133778
  2. The economic feasibility of light-emitting diode (LED) lights for the Korean offshore squid-jigging fishery vol.116, 2015, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.08.012