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Assessment of Changes in Temperature and Primary Production over the East China Sea and South Sea during the 21st Century using an Earth System Model

지구시스템 모형을 이용한 21세기 동중국해와 남해의 수온과 일차생산 변화 평가

  • 박영규 (한국해양과학기술원 해양순환.기후연구부) ;
  • 최상화 (한국해양과학기술원 해양과학데이터센터) ;
  • 김선동 (한국해양과학기술원 선박해양플랜트연구소) ;
  • 김철호 (한국해양과학기술원 해양순환.기후연구부)
  • Received : 2012.04.12
  • Accepted : 2012.06.11
  • Published : 2012.06.30

Abstract

Using results from an Earth System model, we investigated change in primary production in the East China Sea, under a global warming scenario. As global warming progresses, the vertical stratification of water becomes stronger, and nutrient supply from the lower part to the upper part is reduced. Consequently, so is the primary production. In addition to the warming trend, there is strong decadal to interdecadal scale variability, and it takes a few decades before the warming trend surpasses natural variability. Thus, it would be very hard to investigate the global warming trend using data of several years' length.

Keywords

References

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