An Extensive View on the Highway Network in North Korea and the Determination of Investment Priority Using AHP Analysis

북한의 고속도로 전망 및 AHP기법을 활용한 투자우선순위 결정

Current state of population, the existing roads, and the function of roads and highways of North Korea have been reviewed in this paper. In addition, the 'Five by five' road network has proposed for North-South and East-West directions to be connected with the road network of South Korea, China, and Asian Highways. Furthermore, the evaluation criteria and weighted values have suggested to determine the investment priority of highway based on the survey results from expert group members using AHP analysis method. Throughout the analysis, the ranking of the investment priority has been decided for the North-South axis and East-West axis. The second North-South axis (Geasung-Pyungyang-Anju-China) has been ranked as the first priority for the North-South axis followed by the fifth North-South axis as the second, the first axis as the third, the third axis as the fourth and the fourth axis as the last priority. For the East-West axis, the second East-West axis(Nampo-Pyungyang-Wonsan) has been ranked as the first priority followed by the first axis as the second, the third axis as the third, the fourth axis as the fourth and the fifth East-West axis as the last priority.

본 논문에서는 북한의 인구현황, 도로현황, 도로의 기능 및 역할을 살펴보았다. 또한, 남한과 중국의 도로망 및 Asian Highway와 연계할 수 있는 도로에 대해 남북축과 동서측 $5{\times}5$로 전망하였다. 추가적으로, 도로의 투자우선순위를 결정하기 위하여 평가항목 및 가중치를 산정하고 전문가그룹의 설문조사를 바탕으로 AHP 분석방법을 활용하였다. 분석결과 축별 우선순위는 남북축은 남북2축(개성~평양~안주~중국),남북5축, 남북1축, 남북3축, 남북4축 순으로 선정되었으며 동서축은 동서2축(남포~평양~원산), 동서1축, 동서3축, 동서4축, 동서5축 구간이 투자우선순위가 높은 것으로 분석되었다.