한국시스템다이내믹스연구 (Korean System Dynamics Review)

한국시스템다이내믹스학회 (Korean System Dynamics Society)
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동적 균형상태를 중심으로 본 금강 지천의 참게자원 분석

Applying Steady State Analysis to the Study of Mitten Crabs in Jichun, Kum River

  • 투고 : 2010.04.05
  • 심사 : 2010.04.20
  • 발행 : 2010.04.30
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초록

This article deals with an ecological-economic analysis of the 'Pasture Project of Kum River', which is the farming plan of mitten crabs using Jichun, a stream of the River Kum where the natural propagation of mitten crabs are blocked because of the estuary dam constructed in 1990. Toward analyzing the ecological and economic effects of the crab releasing and harvesting activities in Jichun, a two-stage cohort model of population dynamics with cannibalistic behaviors and density restrictions in biomathematics is adopted, despite of the current infertility in Kum, considering the opportunity of establishing dam fishways in the near future. This study moreover presents a method of parameter estimation especially with assuming a steady state of the ecosystem, and performs various analyses such as the risk measurement of climate change and the economic value of such fishways.

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참고문헌

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