상관관계분석, 설비투입액 비교 및 효율성 지표를 통한 신재생에너지보급사업의 정량적 성과분석 고찰

Outcome Analysis on Renewable Energy Dissemination Program through Correlation Analysis and Effectiveness Indicator

  • 이동건 (서울대학교 에너지시스템 공학부) ;
  • 문창권 (서울대학교 에너지시스템 공학부) ;
  • 허은녕 (서울대학교 에너지시스템 공학부)
  • 투고 : 2010.06.28
  • 심사 : 2010.07.29
  • 발행 : 2010.06.25

초록

The objective of this study is to present a basis for the evaluation on the renewable energy dissemination program in Korea applying the outcome evaluation, one of the five types of evaluation methods of EERE, DOE, and the effectiveness indicator, which is suggested by IEA, OECD. The outcome evaluation quantifies achievements of program outputs and outcomes against planned time frame. We analyze the correlation coefficients between cumulative expenditure on the renewable energy dissemination program and each renewable energy deployment and the unit installation cost of several dissemination programs for the outcome evaluation. Meanwhile, the effectiveness indicator is calculated by dividing the additional renewable energy deployment achieved in a given year by the remaining mid-term realizable potential to 2020 in each source of renewable energy. The results show that correlation coefficients between cumulative expenditure and each renewable energy deployment are significantly positive during the implementation period of each deployment program. And photovoltaic energy, bio energy, and wind power energy show high effectiveness indicator.

키워드

참고문헌

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