Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods

The Korean Statistical Society (한국통계학회)
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A Brief Review of a Term Saddlepoint Approximation Method for Estimating Diffusion Processes

단일항 안장점근사법에 의한 확산모형의 추정

  • Received : 20100300
  • Accepted : 20100400
  • Published : 2010.05.31
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Abstract

Recently various methods were suggested and reviewed for estimating diffusion processes. Out of suggested estimation method, we mainly concerns on the estimation method using saddlepoint approximation method, and we suggest a term saddlepoint approximation(ASP) method which is the simplest saddlepoint approximation method. We will show that ASP method provides fast estimator as much as Euler approximation method(EAM) in computing, and the estimator also has good statistical properties comparable to the maximum likelihood estimator(MLE). By simulation study we compare the properties of ASP estimator with MLE and EAM, for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion processes.

최근 확산모형의 추정을 위한 매우 다양한 방법론들이 제시되고 연구 되어 왔다. 본 연구에서는 제안된 확산모형의 추정 방법 중에서, 안장점근사법을 이용한 확산모형의 모수 추정방법에 대하여 살펴보게 되고, 가장 단순한 형태의 안장점근사법인 단일항 안장점근사법의 사용을 제안하게 된다. 단일항 안장점근사법은 오일러근사법과 마찬가지로 계산속도가 빠르고, 다양한 모형에 적용이 가능하면서도 최대우도추정량과 마찬가지로 성능이 우수한 특성을 갖고 있음을 살펴보게 된다. OU 확산모형을 대상으로 한 시뮬레이션 연구를 통하여 단일항 안장점근사를 이용한 추정량과 다른 추정량들과의 성질을 비교한다.

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