Journal of Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회지)

Korean Society of Transportation (대한교통학회)
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Identifying Key Factors to Affect Vehicle Inspection and Maintenance(I/M) Test Results Using a Binary Logit Model (California Case Study)

이항로짓모형을 이용한 자동차 배출가스 검사결과에 미치는 요인분석(미국 캘리포니아 사례를 중심으로)

  • Published : 2006.05.31
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Abstract

For the past decades, vehicle emissions has been a major source of air pollution in urban areas Vehicle inspection and maintenance (I/M) test programs were developed for major metropolitan areas to reduce urban air pollution. However. there are a few studies of exploring major factors to influence I/M test failure. This study develops a logit model to identify key factors affecting overall test failure, using the vehicle I/M test data from California in October 2002. The model results indicate that vehicle age, odometer reading, engine size, vehicle make, presences of emissions control equipment, and test types have significant effects on the probability of I/M test failure.

지난 수십년간 자동차의 배출오염물질은 대도시 대기오염의 주요 원인이 되고 있다. 이 같은 배출가스를 줄이기 위한 정책의 일환으로 배출가스 검사제도가 실시되고 있으나, 이 검사결과에 대한 배출가스 과다차량의 요인분석에 관한 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 자동차 배출가스 규제가 엄격한 미국 캘리포니아주의 2002년 10월의 자동차 배출가스 검사결과 자료를 이용하여 자동차 배출가스 검사결과에 대한 이항로짓모형을 개발하고, 이를 통해 자동차의 과다배출가스에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인을 분석하였다. 모형추정결과, 차령. 주행거리, 엔진크기, 자동차 제조업체, 배기가스제어장치 장착여부, 검사방식 등이 배기가스 과다배출에 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다.

Keywords

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