이중절단정규분포의 적용을 통한 케이슨 방파제 기대활동량 평가의 향상

Improved Estimation for Expected Sliding Distance of Caisson Breakwaters by Employment of a Doubly-Truncated Normal Distribution

  • Kim Tae-Min (Research Center of Industrial Technology, Dept. of Civil Eng., Chonbuk National University) ;
  • Hwang Kyu-Nam (Research Center of Industrial Technology, Dept. of Civil Eng., Chonbuk National University) ;
  • Takayama Tomotsuka (Disaster Prevention Research Institute)
  • 발행 : 2005.12.01

초록

본 연구는 기대활동량을 이용하는 케이슨 방파제의 신뢰성 설계법(레벨 III)에 대한 연구로서, 기대활동량의 향상된 평가를 위해 지금까지 이용되어온 정규(가우스)분포 대신 이중절단정규분포의 사용을 제안하고자 하며, 이에 대한 타당성을 제시하고자 한다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 확률적 개념에 근거한 기대활동량의 계산과정에서 Monte-Carlo모의 기법을 통한 불확정요소들의 영향을 반영하는 방법에 대한 설명과 함께 이중절단정규분포가 적용되어야만 하는 명확한 근거가 제시되며, 또한 기대활동량 평가시의 이중절단정규분포의 적용방법에 대한 자세한 설명이 주어진다. 본 논문에서는 케이슨 방파제만을 대상으로 이중절단정규분포를 적용하고 있으나, 이중절단정규분포의 적용은 다양한 해안구조물 및 타 공학 분야에도 적극 활용될 수 있으므로 향후 적극적인 활용이 기대된다.

The present study is deeply concerned with the reliability design method(Level III) for caisson breakwaters using expected sliding distance, and the objectives of this study are to propose the employment of a doubly-truncated normal distribution and to present the validity for it. In this study, therefore, the explanations are made for consideration of effects of uncertain factors, and a clear basis that the doubly-truncated normal distribution should be employed in the computation process of expected sliding distance by Monte-Carlo simulation is presented with introduction of the employment method. Even though only caisson breakwaters are treated in this paper, the employment of doubly-truncated normal distribution can be applied to various coastal structures as well as other engineering fields, and therefore it is expected that the present study will be extended in various fields.

키워드

참고문헌

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