The Importance of Geotechnical Variability in the Analysis of Earthquake-induced Slope Deformations

지진으로 인한 사면변위 해석 시 지반성질 모델의 중요성

  • Kim, Jin-Man (Hyundai Institute of Construction Technology)
  • Published : 2003.04.01

Abstract

A practical statistical approach that can be used to model various sources of uncertainty systematically is presented in the context of reliability analysis of slope stability. New expressions for probabilistic characterization of soil properties incorporate sampling and measurement errors, as well as spatial variability and its reduced variance due to spatial averaging. The stochastic nature of seismic loading is studied by generating a large series of hazard-compatible artificial motions, and by using them in subsequent response analyses. The analyses indicate that in a seismically less active region such as the Korean Peninsular, a moderate variability in soil properties has an effect as large as the characterization of earthquake hazard on the computed risk of slope failure and excessive slope deformations.

사면안정 신뢰성 해석을 통해 다양한 불확실성을 체계적으로 모델링할 수 있는 실용적 인 확률통계 기법을 제시한다. 새로운 제안식은, 지반성질의 확률적 특성화를 위해 공간적 변화와 공간평균으로 인한 분산감소뿐만 아니라 통계 및 측정오차까지도 고려하였다. 지진하중의 불확실성은 인공지진파를 대량으로 생성하고 이를 응답해석에 이용함으로써 반영하였다. 예제 해석결과, 한반도와 같이 지진이 활발하지 않은 지역(중약진 지진대)에서는 일반적 수준의지반성질 변화특성화가 지진위험도 특성화만큼이나 사면 파괴 위험도와 과도한 사면변형 계산값에 영향을 준다는 결론에 도달하였다.

Keywords

References

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