확산모형과 성장곡선모형을 이용한 중장기 수요예측에 관한 연구

A Study on the Demand Forecasting using Diffusion Models and Growth Curve Models

  • 강현철 (호서대학교 자연과학부 수학전공) ;
  • 최종후 (고려대학교 자연과학대학 정보통계학과)
  • 발행 : 2001.09.01

초록

중장기 수요예측을 위해 자주 사용되는 방법으로 확산모형과 성장곡선모형을 들 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이들 방법론의 성격 및 실제 적용에 있어 모수추정에 따른 문제점들을 살펴보고, 모수추정을 효율적으로 수행하기 위한 전략을 제시한다. 또한 실제 자료에 각 방법론들을 적용하여 예측결과를 비교한다.

키워드

참고문헌

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