Probabilistic Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Beam and Slab Deflections Using Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Published : 2000.07.01

Abstract

It is not easy to correctly predict deflections of reinforced concrete beams and one-way slabs due to the variability of parameters involved in the calculation of deflections. Monte Carlo simulation is used to assess the variability of deflections with known statistical data and probability distributions of variables. A deterministic deflection value is obtained using the layered beam model based on the finite element approach in which a finite element is divided into a number of layers over the depth. The model takes into account nonlinear effects such as cracking, creep and shrinkage. Statistical parameters were obtained from the literature. For the assessment of variability of deflections, 12 cases of one-way slabs and T-beams are designed on the basis of ultimate moment capacity. Several results of a probabilistic study are presented to indicate general trends indicated by results and demonstrate the effect of certain design parameters on the variability of deflections. From simulation results, the variability of deflections relies primarily on the ratio of applied moment to cracking moment and the corre-sponding reinforcement ratio.

Keywords

References

  1. ACI Manual of Concrete Practice Prediction of Creep, Shrinkage, and Temperature Effects i Concrete Structures ACI Committee 209
  2. Beton and Stahlbetonbau v.62 Implications of the Superposition principle in Creep and Relaxation Problems for Concrete and Prestressed Concrete Trost, H
  3. Instantaneous and Time-Dependent Deflections of Simple and Continuous Reinforced Concrete Beams v.7 Branson, B. E
  4. Ph.D. Thesis Variability of Reinforced Concrete Beam Deflection Choi, B. S
  5. ASCE Structural Division v.105 no.ST6 Statistical Descriptions of the Strength of Concrete Mirza, S. A;Hatzinikolas, M;MacGregor, J. G
  6. ASCE Structureal Divsision v.105 no.ST5 Variability of the Mechanical Properties of Reinforcing Bars Mirza, S. A;MacGregor, J. G
  7. PCI Journal Reliability of Partially Prestressed Beams at Serviceability Limit States Naaman, A.E;Amnuayporn Siriaksorn
  8. Building Code Requirements for Reinforced Concrete and conmentary ACI Cimmittee 318
  9. ACI Journal, Proceedings v.76 no.8 Monte Carlo Study of Short Time Deflections of Reinforced Concrete Beams Ramsay, R. J;Mirza, S;MacGregor, J. G