기후조건 변화에 따른 산불확산 변화 비교

Comparison a Forest Fire Spread variation according to weather condition change

  • 이시영 (강원대학교 방재기술전문대학원) ;
  • 박흥석 (동국대학교 환경생태공학과)
  • Lee, Si-Young (Professional Graduate School of Disaster Prevention Technology, Kangwon National University) ;
  • Park, Houng-Sek (Environmental and Ecological Engineering)
  • 발행 : 2008.11.13

초록

We simulated a forest fire which was occurred in Yangyang area on 2005 and compared a results between two different weather conditions(real weather condition and mean weather condition since 1968) using FARSITE, which is a forest fire spread simulator for preventing and predicting fire in USDA. And, we researched a problem in the transition for introducing, so we serve the basic method for prevention and attacking fire. In the result, severe weather condition on 2005 effected a forest fire behavior. The rate of spread under real weather condition was about 4 times faster than mean weather condition. Damaged area was about 10 time than mean weather condition. Therefore, Climate change will make a more sever fire season. As we will encounter to need for accurate prediction in near future, it will be necessary to predict a forest fire linked with future wether and fuel condition.

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