영동지역 봄철 소나무림에서 강우후 지표연료 직경별 연료습도변화 예측모델 개발 및 검증

The model development and verification for surface branch wood fuels moisture prediction after precipitation during spring period at the east coast region

  • 이시영 (국립강원대학교 방재기술전문대학원) ;
  • 이명욱 (한중대학교 토목환경공학과) ;
  • 권춘근 (국립강원대학교 방재기술전문대학원) ;
  • 염찬호 (국립강원대학교 방재기술전문대학원) ;
  • 이해평 (국립강원대학교 소방방재학부)
  • 발행 : 2008.11.13

초록

In this study, we developed a fuel moisture variation prediction model on each day after precipitation during a spring forest fire exhibition period. For this research, we selected plots in pine forest on Sam-Chuck si and Dong-hae si in Kangwon do according to a forest density(low, mediate, high) and classified a surface woody fuel by a diameter.(below 0.6cm, $0.6{\sim}3cm$, $3{\sim}6cm$, and above 6cm). A validity of this model was verified by applying a fuel moisture variation after precipitation in this spring. In the result, $R^2$ was $0.76{\sim}0.92$. This model will be a useful for improvement of a forest fire danger rate forcast through a prediction a fule moisture in forest.

키워드