한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference)
- 한국전산구조공학회 2006년도 정기 학술대회 논문집
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- Pages.275-282
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- 2006
반응표면방법론과 피어슨 시스템을 이용한 불확실성하의 확률적 설계
Probabilistic Design under Uncertainty using Response Surface Methodology and Pearson System
- 발행 : 2006.04.01
초록
System algorithms estimated by deterministic input may occur the error between predicted and actual output. Especially, actual system can't predict the exact outputs due to uncertainty and tolernce of input parameters. A single output to a set of inputs has a limited value without the variation. Hence, we should consider various scatters caused by the load assessment, material characteristics, stress analysis and manufacturing methods in order to perform the robust design or etimate the reliability of structure. The system design with uncertainty should perform the probabilistic structural optimization with the statistical response and the reliability. This method calculated the probability distributions of the characteristics such as stress by combining stress analysis, response surface methodology and Monte Carlo simulation and got the probabilistic sensitivity. The sensitivity of structural response with respect to in constant design variables was estimated by fracture probability. Therefore, this paper proposed the probabilistic reliability design method for fracture of uncorved freight end beam and the design criteria by fracture probability.
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