대한기계학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the KSME Conference)
- 대한기계학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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- Pages.234-239
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- 2004
통계적 방법을 통한 가스배관의 잔여수명 예측
Probabilistic Assessment of life Time for Gas Pipe Lines
초록
A study on the probabilistic methodology for the estimation of the remaining life of Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects is presented. This reliability assessment is earned out using extream value distribution of the corroded defects instead of already published failure perssure moded like NG18 or ASME B31G. The failure probability of pipelines depends on the number of corroded defects. and it could be calculated directly as the area exceeded a defined L V(Limited Value of corrosion depth). The remaining life of pressurized pipelines can also be estimated by the PDF of extream value distribution as calculating the exceeded area with a defined failure probability.