한국철도학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the KSR Conference)
- 한국철도학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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- Pages.97.1-103
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- 2001
철도여객수요예측을 위한 Holt-Winters모형의 초기값 설정방법 비교
An Empirical Comparison of Initialization Methods for Holt-Winters Model with Railway Passenger Demand Data
초록
Railway passenger demand forecasts may be used directly, or as inputs to other optimization model which is use the demand forecasts to produce estimates of other activities. The optimization models require demand forecasts at the most detailed level. In this environment exponential smoothing forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters are appropriate because it is simple and inexpensive in terms of computation. There are several initialization methods for Holt-Winters Model. The purpose of this paper is to compare the initialization methods for Holt-Winters model.
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