A New Measure of Uncertainty Importance Based on Distributional Sensitivity Analysis for PSA

  • Han, Seok-Jung (Department of Nuclear Engineering Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ;
  • Tak, Nam-IL (Department of Nuclear Engineering Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ;
  • Chun, Moon-Hyun (Department of Nuclear Engineering Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology)
  • Published : 1996.11.01

Abstract

The main objective of the present study is to propose a new measure of uncertainty importance based on distributional sensitivity analysis. The new measure is developed to utilize a metric distance obtained from cumulative distribution functions (cdfs). The measure is evaluated for two cases: one is a cdf given by a known analytical distribution and the other given by an empirical distribution generated by a crude Monte Carlo simulation. To study its applicability, the present measure has been applied to two different cases. The results are compared with those of existing three methods. The present approach is a useful measure of uncertainty importance which is based on cdfs. This method is simple and easy to calculate uncertainty importance without any complex process. On the basis of the results obtained in the present work, the present method is recommended to be used as a tool for the analysis of uncertainty importance.

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