대한전기학회:학술대회논문집 (Proceedings of the KIEE Conference)
- 대한전기학회 1988년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
- /
- Pages.118-121
- /
- 1988
Fuzzy Decision을 사용한 단기부하예측 전문가 시스템
An Expert System for Short Term Load Forecasting by Fuzzy Decision
- Park, Young-Il (Dept. of Electrical Eng. Seoul National University) ;
- Park, Jong-Keun (Dept. of Electrical Eng. Seoul National University)
- 발행 : 1988.11.25
초록
Load forecasting is an important issue as for the economic dispatch and there have been many researches which are classfied into two classes, time series method and factor analysis method. But the former is not adaptive for a sudden change of a correlated factor and the latter is not inefficient as the factor estimation is not easy. To make matters worse, both of them are not good for the estimation of special days. It is because the load forecasting is not a problem modeled precisely in mathematics, but a problem requires experience and knowledge those can solve it case by case. In this viewpoint, an expert system is proposed which can use complicated experience of an expert by use of fuzzy decision.
키워드