• 상하수도학회지
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.100-114
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• 1996

Besides insufficient water, water contamination confronts us with 'water crises' of both quantity and quality. However, the daily water consumption per capita of Korea is greater than that of other developed countries. Because of the current low water price, which is lower than a half of production cost, not only does it become difficult to cope promptly with rapidly increasing water demand and water contamination, but it also causes waste of water. We should, therefore, switch over from supply side management-oriented policy to demand side management-oriented policy through a raise of the water rate. This study carries out a cost analysis based on fair return method which is the principle of water pricing in Korea, and it estimates, through equilibrium analysis, long run marginal cost(LRMC), which satisfies allocative efficiency and reflects true social cost to additional one-unit water supply. Based on the results, this study proposes that the estimated LRMC is the optimal price level in water pricing, which is the most important of the demand side management policies. In the end, water conservation effect, price pervasive effect, and social welfare effect are analyzed.

• 설비공학논문집
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• 제21권11호
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• pp.636-642
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• 2009

Energy consumption data are surveyed and measured to develop energy demand models for hospital buildings as part of a complete package. Daily consumption profiles for electricity, heating, cooling and hot water are surveyed for 14 carefully chosen hospitals to establish energy demand patterns for a time span of a year. Then the hourly demand patterns of the 4 loads are field-measured for different seasons and statistically analyzed to provide higher resolution models. Used in conjunction with energy demand models for other types of buildings, the high resolution of 8760 hour energy demand models for a hospital for a typical year will serve as building blocks for the comprehensive model that allows the estimation of the combined loads for arbitrary mixtures of buildings.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제50권7호
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• pp.503-511
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• 2017

수자원 계획 및 운영을 위한 수요량을 추정하는데 있어, 실제 이용 추세를 반영한 생활용수나 공업용수와 달리 농업용수는 용수공급시설의 규모를 결정하기 위한 방법론이 주로 적용되어 왔다. 이는 불가피하게 농업용수의 과다추정으로 이어질 수 있으며, 전체 수자원 계획의 관점에서 각 용도별 용수 수급계획의 불균형을 초래할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 기존 방법론과 비교하여 순물소모량 개념의 접근방법의 차이에 대해 고찰하였으며, 이를 제주도 전역에 적용하여 농업용수 수요량 특성을 분석하였다. 수요량 산정에 핵심적인 인자인 증발산량의 정확한 추정을 위하여 SWAT 모형을 적용하고, 제주도 지역의 지형 및 기상, 유출, 물이용 특성을 반영한 유역 모델링을 수행하였으며, 기존 물수지 결과와 비교하여 모델링 자료의 신뢰성을 평가하였다. 과거기간(1992~2013년)에 대해 제주도 전체의 수요량은 연간 427 mm로 분석되었으며, 동부와 서부 해안지역을 중심으로 상대적으로 높은 수요량을 나타내었다. 유역면적 $30km^2$ 이상인 10개 하천유역에 대해서도 연평균 수요량 및 계절별 변화 특성을 분석하였다. 또한, 장래 2020년 지역별 작물재배면적을 적용하여 10년 빈도 가뭄에 대응한 수요량을 산정한 결과 기존 제시된 수요량 대비 54% 수준으로 나타났다. 이는 수요량 산정목적에 따른 접근방법의 차이로 인해서 나타난 결과로서, 수자원 관리 및 운영의 관점에서 보면 순물소모량만큼의 추가적인 수요가 예상되지만, 실제 공급의 관점에서는 기존 수요량만큼의 시설계획이 필요하다고 판단할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 적용된 방법론 및 결과의 실무 활용을 위해서는 공학적인 검증은 물론이고 정책적 제도적인 측면에서의 합리적인 논의가 필요할 것이다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.33-42
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• 2022

The objective of this study is to determine the appropriate size of the inlet pipe diameter and thereby conduct hydraulic analysis for the Korean water distribution network. To this end, the data tables for equivalent pipe diameters and outflow rates presently employed in Korea were adopted. By incorporating the table of equivalent pipe diameters, it was found that the size of the inlet pipe diameter was overestimated, which can cause shortage of water pressure and malfunctioning or insufficiency of outflow rate in the corresponding adjacent region. However, by conducting hydraulic analysis based on the table of outflow rates, relatively reasonable flow rates were observed. Furthermore, by comparing the real demand-driven analysis (RDDA) approach and demand-driven analysis (DDA) approach toward managing the huge water demand, it was observed that DDA could not effectively respond to real hourly usage conditions, whereas RDDA (which reflects the hourly effects of inlet pipe diameter and storage tanks) demonstrated results similar to that of real water supply.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.109-118
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• 1997

In this study, we examined the structural analysis of water demand fluctuation for water distribution control of water supply network. In order to analyze for the length of stationary time series, we calculate autocorrelation coefficient of each case equally divided data size. As a result, it was found that, with the data size of around three months, any case could be used as stationary time series. we analyze cross-correlation coefficient between the daily water consumption's data and primary influence factors. As a result, we have decided to use weather conditions and maximum temperature as natural primary factors and holidays as a social factor. Applying the multiple ARIMA model, we obtains an effective model to describe the daily water demand prediction. From the forecasting result, even though we forecast water distribution quantity of the following year, estimated values well express the flctuations of measurements. Thus, the suitability of the model for practical use can be confirmed. When this model is used for practical water distribution control, water distribution quantity for the following day should be found by inputting maximum temperature and weather conditions obtained from weather forecast, and water purification plants and service reservoirs should be operated based on this information while operation of pumps and valves should be set up. Consequently, we will be able to devise a rational water management system.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.147-154
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• 2024

The continuous increase in urban population due to migration of mases from rural areas to big cities has set urban water supply under serious stress. Urban water resources face scarcity of available water quantity, which ultimately effects the water supply. It is high time to address this challenging problem by taking appropriate measures for the improvement of water utility services linked with better understanding of demand side management (DSM), which leads to an effective state of water supply governance. We propose a dynamic framework for preventive DSM that results in optimization of water resource management. This paper uses Agent Based Modeling (ABM) with Digital Twin (DT) to model water consumption behavior of a population and consequently forecast water demand. DT creates a digital clone of the system using physical model, sensors, and data analytics to integrate multi-physical quantities. By doing so, the proposed model replicates the physical settings to perform the remote monitoring and controlling jobs on the digital format, whilst offering support in decision making to the relevant authorities.

• 물과 미래
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.135-143
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• 1994

본 연구에서는 상수도 급수량의 시간적 변화형태를 조사하고, 수요량의 시간적인 변화량에 통계학적 개념을 이용하여 수요량의 시간적 변화에 관한 확률적 분산모형에 관하여 검정 결정하였다. 연구대상의 지역으로 광주시를 선정하고, 자료로는 2시간 간격으로 측정된 배수지의 수위와 1일 상수도 생산량을 이용하였다. 급수계통의 모형에 통제용적과 연속방정식을 적용하여 2시간별로 변화되는 수요량을 결정하고, 매월 단위로 정리하여 수요수량의 변화를 알 수 있도록 하였다. 2시간별 수요수량은 1일 총 급수량에 대한 백분율로 환산하여 지수화하였으며, 시간별로 변화되는 각각의 급수량은 통계학적으로 추론될 수 있는지 알 수 있도록 분산모형에 관하여 검정을 하였다. 검정결과를 이용하면 시간별 확률 급수량의 산정이나 급수량의 통계학적 해석을 통하여 상수도 시설의 운용에 이용할 수 있는 것으로 판단되었다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2020년도 학술발표회
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• pp.116-116
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• 2020

Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) is a highly mountainous and remote region covering 45% of Upper Indus Basin (UIB) with around 1.8 million population is vulnerable to climate change and socio-economic growth makes water resources management and planning more complex. To understand the water scarcity in the region this study is carried out to project water supply and demand for agricultural and domestic sector under various climate-socio-economic scenarios in five sub catchments of GB i.e., Astore, Gilgit, Hunza, Shigar and Shyok for a period of 2015 to 2050 using Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) model. For climate change scenario ensembled mean of three global climate models (GCMs) was used under three different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and agricultural Land Development (LD) scenarios were combined with climate scenarios to develop climate-socio-economic scenario. Our results indicate that the climate change and socio-economic growth would create a gap between supply and demand of water in the region, with socio-economic growth (e.g. agricultural and population) as dominant external factor that would reduce food production and increase poverty level in the region. Among five catchments only Astore and Gilgit will face shortfall of water while Shyoke would face shortfall of water only under agricultural growth scenarios. We also observed that the shortfall of water in response to climate-socio-economic scenarios is totally different over two water deficient catchments due to its demography and geography. Finally, to help policy makers in developing regional water resources and management policies we classified five sub catchments of UIB according to its water deficiency level.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.445-452
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• 2007

This study was carried out to examine effect of post-chlorine dosage reduction by ozonation and GAC process in the field plant for 3years in the "G" water purification plant in Seoul. And it is to compare GAC with BAC process in removal effects of TOC, THMs, THMFP, $UV_{254}$. As a result, chlorine dosage of ozonation and GAC(=BAC) is less demand than GAC. Seasonal reduction of chlorine demand is from about 37% to 59% with BAC, and from 24 to 46% with GAC. Higher reduction in BAC could be achieved. The efficiency of chlorine demand reduction with ozonation was depending on the organic carbon removal. $UV_{254}$ concentration is less about 0.13~0.74L/mg.m in BAC than GAC. Therefore, the combination of ozonation and GAC was more effective in reducing post-chlorine than the single GAC. TOC was also monitored, and results show that a linear relationship between TOC and chlorine demand is appropriate under each treatment process. It means that removal of organic matter(TOC) from finished water is necessary to reduce post-chlorine dosage in clear well and to minimize order of chlorine in distribution systems.

• 물과 미래
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.63-69
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• 1981

본 연구는 용수 공급시설의 최적건설순서 및 최적건설년을 시간-용수수요의 관계로부터 결정함에 있어서 동적 계획법에 의한 해석으로부터 동적 계획법의 수질원분야에 대한 응용가능성을 살펴보며 그 적용을 보이고자 하였다. 분석에 있어서 대구시의 상수도확충계획 자료 중 건설가능 Projects를 채택하였으며 용수추정방법을 지수함수식, 대구시추정치 및 두 방법의 평균치의 3가지 방법으로 하여 동적 계획모델에 적용시켰으며 그 결과 수요곡선의 변화가 optimal sequence에 변화를 가져왔고 대체적으로 D-E-G-F-C-B-A의 순으로 향후 33-38년 기간 내에 건설되어야 함을 발견하였다. 그리고 이자율의 변동은 present value cost에만 영향이 있었으며 동적 계획모델에 의한 용수공급시설의 최적화가 타당함을 보여주었다.