• 제목/요약/키워드: urban scenario

검색결과 283건 처리시간 0.029초

Decision Scaling 기반 댐 운영 기후변화 가뭄 취약성 평가 (Development of a decision scaling framework for drought vulnerability assessment of dam operation under climate change)

  • 김지흔;서승범;조재필
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제56권4호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2023
  • 최근 지속적인 가뭄으로 물 공급에 큰 어려움을 겪고 있으며, 이러한 극한 사상의 발생은 기후변화에 따라 더욱 빈번해질 것으로 전망된다. 본 연구는 기후변화에 따른 댐 운영 가뭄 취약성을 평가하고자, 보다 넓은 범위에서 미래 기후변화의 변동성을 반영할 수 있는 decision scaling 기법을 제안하였다. 충청남도 보령댐을 시범유역으로 선정하고 양적 신뢰도를 이용하여 평가한 결과, 보령댐의 가뭄 취약도는 도수로 반영 여부에 따라 95.80% 에서 98.13%까지 변동하였고, 기후변화에 매우 취약한 것으로 나타났다. 더불어 유전 알고리즘 기반 최적의 헤징룰을 산정하여 가뭄 취약성의 저감 효과를 분석하였고, 다양한 사회·경제적 변화에 대응하기 위해 세 가지 수요 시나리오(고수요, 저수요, 기준수요) 하에서 평가를 진행하였다. 양적 신뢰도와 극한가뭄 발생 빈도를 평가 기준으로 분석한 결과, 두 헤징룰은 K-water의 용수공급 조정기준 대비 저수요 시나리오에서 공급 안정도를 개선시킴으로써 극한가뭄에 적절히 대처할 수 있는 방법으로 사용될 수 있을 것이다.

농업분야 활용을 위한 한반도 1km 격자형 SSP 기후변화 시나리오 (SSP Climate Change Scenarios with 1km Resolution Over Korean Peninsula for Agricultural Uses)

  • 허지나;조재필;조세라;심교문;김용석;강민구;오찬성;서승범;김응섭
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2024
  • 국제사회는 IPCC를 중심으로 SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) 기후변화 시나리오를 새로운 온실가스 변화 경로로 채택하고, 신기후변화 시나리오 기반으로 다양한 규모와 형태로 기후변화를 전망하고 분석하고 있다. 국립농업과학원은 이러한 국제적 동향을 반영하고 농업부문 기후변화 적응대책 지원을 위한 노력의 일환으로 신규 온실가스 경로에 기반한 한반도 상세(1km) 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하였다. 본 논문은 2022년 "국가 기후변화 표준 시나리오" 로 인증받은 국립농업과학원의 SSP 기후변화 시나리오 자료를 소개하고, 기후변화 전망 결과를 보여주고자 한다. 한반도의 미래 기후 변화에 대한 전망 정보를 생산하기 위해 CMIP6에 참여한 18개의 GCM 모형에서 생산된 전지구 규모의 기후 자료를 과거기간(1985-2014)과 미래기간(2015-2100)에 대해 수집하고, 1km 격자형 한반도 전자기후도와 SQM 방법을 이용하여 한반도 영역에 대해 통계적 상세화를 수행하였다. 21세기 후반기(2071~2100년), 한반도의 연평균 최고, 최저기온은 온실가스 배출 정도에 따라 각각 2.6~6.1 ℃, 2.5~6.3 ℃ 상승하고, 연강수량은 21.5~38.7 % 상승하는 것으로 전망되었다. 저탄소 시나리오(SSP1-2.6)의 경우 기온과 강수량 상승이 적게 나타나, 탄소 배출을 감축하는 경우에 상승 폭을 억제할 수 있을 것으로 전망되었다. 21세기 후반기의 우리나라 평균 풍속과 일사량은 상대적으로 현재 대비 미래에 큰 변화가 없을 것으로 전망하고 있다. 이 자료는 기후변화에 따를 미래의 불확실성을 이해하고 기후변화 적응을 위한 합리적인 의사결정에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

국내 고층 비내진 철근콘크리트 벽식 아파트의 지진취약도 평가 (Seismic Fragility Assessment for Korean High-Rise Non-Seismic RC Shear Wall Apartment Buildings)

  • 전성하;신동현;박지훈
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2020
  • Seismic fragility was assessed for non-seismic reinforced concrete shear walls in Korean high-rise apartment buildings in order to implement an earthquake damage prediction system. Seismic hazard was defined with an earthquake scenario, in which ground motion intensity was varied with respect to prescribed seismic center distances given an earthquake magnitude. Ground motion response spectra were computed using Korean ground motion attenuation equations to match accelerograms. Seismic fragility functions were developed using nonlinear static and dynamic analysis for comparison. Differences in seismic fragility between damage state criteria including inter-story drifts and the performance of individual structural members were investigated. The analyzed building had an exceptionally long period for the fundamental mode in the longitudinal direction and corresponding contribution of higher modes because of a prominently insufficient wall quantity in such direction. The results showed that nonlinear static analyses based on a single mode tend to underestimate structural damage. Moreover, detailed assessments of structural members are recommended for seismic fragility assessment of a relatively low performance level such as collapse prevention. On the other hand, inter-story drift is a more appropriate criterion for a relatively high performance level such as immediate occupancy.

Comparison of the Symmetry of Buttock Pressure during Simulated Driving between Heathy Adults and Patients with Stroke

  • Shin, Hwa-Kyung;Lee, Du-Hwan
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • 제29권4호
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    • pp.218-222
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Driving is an important activity that is affected by various motor and cognitive deficits after stroke. On the other hand, there is no standard screening tool to evaluate the sitting asymmetry during driving, which is the stereotyped postural characteristic observed in patients with stroke. Therefore, this study compared the buttock pressure during simulated driving between healthy adults and patients with stroke. Methods: Ten post-stroke patients and ten healthy subjects participated in the experiment. The participants experienced simulated driving of 6.1 km during approximately 5 minutes for adaptation. The driving scenario consisted of 3.5 km urban traffic conditions, 10 km straight highway, and 7 km curved or hilly rural roads. Force sensitive application (FSA) was used to analyze the distribution of the buttock pressure on the driver's seat. The symmetry index (SI) was determined using the average buttock pressure of each side of the buttock. The closer SI is to zero, the higher the symmetry of buttock pressure. Results: These studies showed that the SI of healthy subjects was significantly closer to zero than that of the stroke patients. Conclusion: The buttock pressure of the stroke patients showed more asymmetry than that of the healthy subjects during simulated driving. Therefore, a therapeutic approach is needed for symmetrical sitting to improve the driving performance.

Application of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System for Interference Management in Heterogeneous Network

  • Palanisamy, Padmaloshani;Sivaraj, Nirmala
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.318-329
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    • 2018
  • Femtocell (FC) technology envisaged as a cost-effective approach to attain better indoor coverage of mobile voice and data service. Deployment of FCs over macrocell forms a heterogeneous network. In urban areas, the key factor limits the successful deployment of FCs is inter-cell interference (ICI), which severely affects the performance of victim users. Autonomous FC transmission power setting is one straightforward way for coordinating ICI in the downlink. Application of intelligent control using soft computing techniques has not yet explored well for wireless networks. In this work, autonomous FC transmission power setting strategy using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System is proposed. The main advantage of the proposed method is zero signaling overhead, reduced computational complexity and bare minimum delay in performing power setting of FC base station because only the periodic channel measurement reports fed back by the user equipment are needed. System level simulation results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method by providing much better throughput, even under high interference activation scenario and cell edge users can be prevented from going outage.

도시 교통 시뮬레이션 (Urban Mobility Simulation)

  • 김경아;김덕수;윤성의
    • 한국컴퓨터그래픽스학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문에서는 시내 상황을 반영한 교통 시뮬레이션을 위한 띠(ribbon)형 도로 네트워크를 형성하고, 에너지 함수를 이용하여 대용량의 차량 객체들의 움직임을 사실적으로 재현하는 실시간 시뮬레이션 방법을 제안한다. 본 연구에서 제안하는 방법으로 GIS (Geographic Information System)의 지도정보 혹은 임의 생성된 지도 모델을 이용하여 도로 네트워크 모델을 기존의 연구보다 적은 오차로 효율적으로 구성할 수 있다. 차량 객체들의 움직임을 사실적으로 재현하기 위하여, 본 논문은 새로운 객체-환경 상호작용 에너지 함수와 객체-객체 상호작용 에너지 함수를 제안한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 상호작용 에너지와 효율적인 도로 네트워크 구성법으로 교차로 및 진입로 등과 같은 대부분의 교통 상황을 사실적으로 실시간 시뮬레이션 할 수 있다.

도심지 지반함몰의 초기발생현상에 대한 흐름해석적 접근 (Flow Analysis Approach to Triggering Phenomenon of Ground Sinking in a Metropolitan Area)

  • 조영석;장연수
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2017
  • In this study, triggering mechanism of ground sinking was analyzed through groundwater flow analysis on the basis of a case of the ground sinking occurred in Yongsan in 2015. The results of geotechnical investigation performed before and after the ground sinking were analyzed for the accurate understanding of geological features in the study area. The numerical groundwater flow analysis was performed to evaluate the influence of the flow behavior from the surrounding area toward the excavated site using software of Visual MODFLOW. As a result, it was found from the geotechnical analysis that the strata of sedimentary layer along the sunken area in the vertical direction was mixed significantly after the ground sinking compared with the status of the soil condition before the ground sinking. Piping was occurred at the toe of cut-off wall in the sandy gravel layer, and this phenomenon was predicted by the numerical flow analysis. Sequential ground displacement scenario of the ground sinking was derived from the geotechnical in situ test and numerical flow analysis performed in this study.

Bridging Solutions for a Heterogeneous WiMAX-WiFi Scenario

  • Fantacci, Romano;Tarchi, Daniele
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.369-377
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the metropolitan area network (MAN) has attracted much attention in telecommunication research and has emerged as one of the most important research topics in the community. Several standards representing the first step for developing metropolitan networks have been published; IEEE 802.16 (WiMAX) has taken a relevant role in reaching the goal of realizing a full-service network all over a urban and suburban area. At the same time, the wireless local area networks (WLAN) have been widely used for in-home or short range communications, mainly basing on the IEEE 802.11 (WiFi) standard. A consequence is the increasing interest in interworking technology, that allows an interconnection between different standards by maintaining certain properties, mainly in terms of quality of service (QoS). One of the major issues is to design bridging devices capable of transparently interconnect different wireless technologies. In this paper, we propose two interconnection bridging solutions between WiMAX and WiFi links; the first is more based on the concept of maintaining a certain end-to-end QoS level independently from the wireless technologies used. The second method is more devoted to the reduction of the implementation complexity at the cost of no QoS assurance. The performance of the two methods are compared by resorting to computer simulations showing the advantages of each one technique.

Spatial Changes in Work Capacity for Occupations Vulnerable to Heat Stress: Potential Regional Impacts From Global Climate Change

  • Kim, Donghyun;Lee, Junbeom
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2020
  • Background: As the impact of climate change intensifies, exposure to heat stress will grow, leading to a loss of work capacity for vulnerable occupations and affecting individual labor decisions. This study estimates the future work capacity under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 scenario and discusses its regional impacts on the occupational structure in the Republic of Korea. Methods: The data utilized for this study constitute the local wet bulb globe temperature from the Korea Meteorological Administration and information from the Korean Working Condition Survey from the Occupational Safety and Health Research Institute of Korea. Using these data, we classify the occupations vulnerable to heat stress and estimate future changes in work capacity at the local scale, considering the occupational structure. We then identify the spatial cluster of diminishing work capacity using exploratory spatial data analysis. Results: Our findings indicate that 52 occupations are at risk of heat stress, including machine operators and elementary laborers working in the construction, welding, metal, and mining industries. Moreover, spatial clusters with diminished work capacity appear in southwest Korea. Conclusion: Although previous studies investigated the work capacity associated with heat stress in terms of climatic impact, this study quantifies the local impacts due to the global risk of climate change. The results suggest the need for mainstreaming an adaptation policy related to work capacity in regional development strategies.

Improving Collision Energy Absorption In High Speed Train By Using Thin Walled Tubes

  • Salimi, Ehsan;Molatefi, Habib;Rezvani, MohammadAli;Shahsavari, Erfan
    • International Journal of Railway
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is investigating the effect and influence rates of utilizing thin walled energy absorption tubes for improving crashworthiness parameter by increasing energy absorption of the body in high speed railcars. In order to find this, a proper profile of available tubes is chosen and added to the structure of selected high speed train in Iranian railway network (Pardis Trainset) and then examined in the scenario of impact with other moving rolling stock. Because of the specific features of LS-DYNA 3D software at collision analysis, the dynamic simulation has been performed in LS-DYNA 3D. The results of the analysis clearly indicate the improvement of train crashworthiness as the energy absorption of structure increases more than 30 percent in comparison with the original body. This strategy delays and reduces the shock to the structure. The verification of the simulation is by using ECE R66 standard.