• 제목/요약/키워드: universal kriging

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농업용수 수요량 분석을 위한 잠재증발산량 공간 분포 추정

  • Yu, Seung-Hwan;Choe, Jin-Yong
    • KCID journal
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2006
  • Weather station based PET(Potential Evapotrarspiration) analysis has often been inadequate to meet the needs of regional-scale irrigation planning. A map of continuous PET surface would be better a solution for the spatial interpolation considering spatial variations. Using a normal PET data collected at the 54 meteorological stations in Korea, 10-days spatial distribution PET map was created using universal Kriging(UK). These estimation methods were evaluated by both visual assessments of the output maps and the quantitative comparison of error measures that were obtained from the cross validation. The universal Kriging method showed appropriate results in spatial interpolation from weather station based PET to spatial PET with low statistical errors.

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Spatial Interpolation and Assimilation Methods for Satellite and Ground Meteorological Data in Vietnam

  • Do, Khac Phong;Nguyen, Ba Tung;Nguyen, Xuan Thanh;Bui, Quang Hung;Tran, Nguyen Le;Nguyen, Thi Nhat Thanh;Vuong, Van Quynh;Nguyen, Huy Lai;Le, Thanh Ha
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.556-572
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the applications of spatial interpolation and assimilation methods for satellite and ground meteorological data, including temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation in regions of Vietnam. In this work, Universal Kriging is used for spatially interpolating ground data and its interpolated results are assimilated with corresponding satellite data to anticipate better gridded data. The input meteorological data was collected from 98 ground weather stations located all over Vietnam; whereas, the satellite data consists of the MODIS Atmospheric Profiles product (MOD07), the ASTER Global Digital Elevation Map (ASTER DEM), and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) in six years. The outputs are gridded fields of temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation. The empirical results were evaluated by using the Root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean percent error (MPE), which illustrate that Universal Kriging interpolation obtains higher accuracy than other forms of Kriging; whereas, the assimilation for precipitation gradually reduces RMSE and significantly MPE. It also reveals that the accuracy of temperature and humidity when employing assimilation that is not significantly improved because of low MODIS retrieval due to cloud contamination.

A Study on Estimation of the Greenhouse Gas Emission from the Road Transportation Infrastructure Using the Geostatistical Analysis -A Case of the Daegu- (공간통계기법을 이용한 도로교통기반의 온실가스 관한 연구 -대구광역시를 대상으로-)

  • Lee, Sang Woo;Lee, Seung Wook;Lee, Seung Yeob;Hong, Won Hwa
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2014
  • This study was intended to reliably predict the traffic green house gas emission in Daegu with the use of spatial statistical technique and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district on the basis of the accurately predicted emission. First, with the use of the traffic actually surveyed at a traffic observation point, and traffic green house gas emission was calculated. Secondly, on the basis of the calculation, and with the use of Universal Kriging technique, this researcher set a suitable variogram modeling to accurately and reliably predict the green house gas emission at non-observation point suitable through spatial correlation, and then performed cross validation to prove the validity of the proper variogram modeling and Kriging technique. Thirdly, with the use of the validated kriging technique, traffic green gas emission was visualized, and its distribution features were analyzed to predict and calculate the traffic green house gas emission of each administrative district. As a result, regarding the traffic green house gas emission of each administration, it was found that Bukgu had the highest green house gas emission of $291,878,020kgCO_2eq/yr$.

Comparison between Spatial Interpolation Methods of Temperature Data for Garlic Cultivation (마늘 재배적지분석을 위한 기온자료 공간보간기법 비교)

  • Kim, Yong-Wan;Hong, Suk-Young;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to decide a spatial interpolation method on temperature data for the suitability analysis of garlic cultivation. In Korea, garlic is the second most cultivated condiment vegetable after red pepper. Nowadays warm-temperate garlic faces potential shift of its arable area according to warmer temperature in the Korean Peninsula, and the change can be drawn with the precise temperature map derived from interpolation on point-measured data. To find the preferable interpolation method in cases of germination and vegetative period of the garlic, different approaches were tested as follows: Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW), Spline, Ordinary Kriging (OK), and Universal Kriging (UK). As a result, IDW and UK show the lowest root mean square errors as for the germination and vegetative seasons, respectively. However, statistically significant difference was not revealed among the applied methods regarding the germinating period. Eventually this will contribute to mapping the suitable lands for the cultivation of warm-temperate garlic reasonably.

PREDICTION OF UNMEASURED PET DATA USING SPATIAL INTERPOLATION METHODS IN AGRICULTURAL REGION

  • Ju-Young;Krishinamurshy Ganeshi
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2004
  • This paper describes the use of spatial interpolation for estimating seasonal crop potential evapotranspiration (PET) and irrigation water requirement in unmeasured evaporation gage stations within Edwards Aquifer, Texas using GIS. The Edwards Aquifer area has insufficient data with short observed records and rare gage stations, then, the investigation of data for determining of irrigation water requirement is difficult. This research shows that spatial interpolation techniques can be used for creating more accurate PET data in unmeasured region, because PET data are important parameter to estimate irrigation water requirement. Recently, many researchers are investigating intensively these techniques based upon mathematical and statistical theories. Especially, three techniques have well been used: Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), spline, and kriging (simple, ordinary and universal). In conclusion, the result of this study (Table 1) shows the kriging interpolation technique is found to be the best method for prediction of unmeasured PET in Edwards aquifer, Texas.

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A Study on Performance Evaluation of Various Kriging Models for Estimating AADT (연평균 일교통량 산정을 위한 다양한 크리깅 방법의 성능 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ha, Jung Ah;Oh, Sei-Chang;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.380-388
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    • 2014
  • Annual average daily traffic(AADT) serves as important basic data in the transportation sector. AADT is used as design traffic which is the basic traffic volume in transportation planning. Despite of its importance, at most locations, AADT is estimated using short term traffic counts. An accurate AADT is calculated through permanent traffic counts at limited locations. This study dealt with estimating AADT using various models considering both the spatial correlation and time series data. Kriging models which are commonly used spatial statistics methods were applied and compared with each model. Additionally the External Universal kriging model, which includes explanatory variables, was used to assure accuracy of AADT estimation. For evaluation of various kriging methods, AADT estimation error, proposed using national highway permanent traffic count data, was analyzed and their performances were compared. The result shows the accuracy enhancement of the AADT estimation.

Estimation of Near Surface Air Temperature Using MODIS Land Surface Temperature Data and Geostatistics (MODIS 지표면 온도 자료와 지구통계기법을 이용한 지상 기온 추정)

  • Shin, HyuSeok;Chang, Eunmi;Hong, Sungwook
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2014
  • Near surface air temperature data which are one of the essential factors in hydrology, meteorology and climatology, have drawn a substantial amount of attention from various academic domains and societies. Meteorological observations, however, have high spatio-temporal constraints with the limits in the number and distribution over the earth surface. To overcome such limits, many studies have sought to estimate the near surface air temperature from satellite image data at a regional or continental scale with simple regression methods. Alternatively, we applied various Kriging methods such as ordinary Kriging, universal Kriging, Cokriging, Regression Kriging in search of an optimal estimation method based on near surface air temperature data observed from automatic weather stations (AWS) in South Korea throughout 2010 (365 days) and MODIS land surface temperature (LST) data (MOD11A1, 365 images). Due to high spatial heterogeneity, auxiliary data have been also analyzed such as land cover, DEM (digital elevation model) to consider factors that can affect near surface air temperature. Prior to the main estimation, we calculated root mean square error (RMSE) of temperature differences from the 365-days LST and AWS data by season and landcover. The results show that the coefficient of variation (CV) of RMSE by season is 0.86, but the equivalent value of CV by landcover is 0.00746. Seasonal differences between LST and AWS data were greater than that those by landcover. Seasonal RMSE was the lowest in winter (3.72). The results from a linear regression analysis for examining the relationship among AWS, LST, and auxiliary data show that the coefficient of determination was the highest in winter (0.818) but the lowest in summer (0.078), thereby indicating a significant level of seasonal variation. Based on these results, we utilized a variety of Kriging techniques to estimate the surface temperature. The results of cross-validation in each Kriging model show that the measure of model accuracy was 1.71, 1.71, 1.848, and 1.630 for universal Kriging, ordinary Kriging, cokriging, and regression Kriging, respectively. The estimates from regression Kriging thus proved to be the most accurate among the Kriging methods compared.

On State Estimation Using Remotely Sensed Data and Ground Measurements -An Overview of Some Useful Tools-

  • Seo, Dong-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.45-67
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    • 1991
  • An overview is given on stochastic techniques with which remotely sensed data may be used together with ground measurements for purposes of state estimation and prediction. They can explicitly account for spatiotemporal differences in measurement characteristics between ground measurements and remotely sensed data, and are suitable for highly variant space or space-time processes, such as atmosperic processes, which may be viewed as (containing) a random process. For state estimation of static ststems, optimal linear estimation is described. As alternatives, various co-kriging estimation techniques are also described, including simple, ordinary, universal, lognormal, disjunctive, indicator, and Bayesian extersion to simple and lognormal. For illustrative purposes, very simple examples of optimal linear estimation and simple co-kriging are given. For state estimation and prediction of dynamic system, distributed-parameter kalman filter is described. Issues concerning actual implemention are given, and with application potential are described.

Heat-Wave Data Analysis based on the Zero-Inflated Regression Models (영-과잉 회귀모형을 활용한 폭염자료분석)

  • Kim, Seong Tae;Park, Man Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data Analysis Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.2829-2840
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    • 2018
  • The random variable with an arbitrary value or more is called semi-continuous variable or zero-inflated one in case that its boundary value is more frequently observed than expected. This means the boundary value is likely to be practically observed more than it should be theoretically under certain probability distribution. When the distribution considered is continuous, the variable is defined as semi-continuous and when one of discrete distribution is assumed for the variable, we regard it as zero-inflated. In this study, we introduce the two-part model, which consists of one part for modelling the binary response and the other part for modelling the variable greater than the boundary value. Especially, the zero-inflated regression models are explained by using Poisson distribution and negative binomial distribution. In real data analysis, we employ the zero-inflated regression models to estimate the number of days under extreme heat-wave circumstances during the last 10 years in South Korea. Based on the estimation results, we create prediction maps for the estimated number of days under heat-wave advisory and heat-wave warning by using the universal kriging, which is one of the spatial prediction methods.

Statistical Estimation of the Input Parameters in Complex Simulation Code (복잡한 시뮬레이션에서 입력 파라메터의 통계적 추정 문제)

  • 박정수
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.335-345
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    • 1999
  • 시뮬레이션 실행 시간이 매우 오래 걸려서 보통 이용하는 비선형최고제곱법으로는 시뮬레이션의 입력 파라메터(또는 절대 상수)를 추정하기 힘든 경우의 추정 문제를 통계적인 메타모델을 이용하여 해결하는 방법에 대하여 기술하였다. 미리 답을 알고 있는 장난감 모형을 이용하여 절대 상수를 추정하기 위해 사용되는 세가지 통계적 메타모델들(전통적 희귀모형, 공간적 선형모형 그리고 projection pursuit 희귀모형)의 성능을 비교하였다. 그 결과 일양 크리깅(universal Kriging)에 의한 공간적 모형이 가장 우수하였고, 이를 실제 핵융합 시뮬레이션 자료에 적용하여 절대 상수를 추정하였다.

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