• Title/Summary/Keyword: typhoon simulation method

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A hybrid numerical simulation method for typhoon wind field over complex terrain

  • Huang, Wenfeng;Zhou, Huanlin
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.549-566
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    • 2014
  • In spite of progress in the numerical simulation of typhoon wind field in atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), using typhoon wind field model in conjunction with Monte Carlo simulation method can only accurately evaluate typhoon wind field over a general terrain. This method is not enough for a reliable evaluation of typhoon wind field over the actual complex terrain with surface roughness and topography variations. To predict typhoon wind field over the actual complex terrain in ABL, a hybrid numerical simulation method combined typhoon simulation used the typhoon wind field model proposed by Meng et al. (1995) and CFD simulation in which the Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations and k-${\varepsilon}$ turbulence model are used. Typhoon wind filed during typhoon Dujuan and Imbudo are simulated using the hybrid numerical simulation method, and compared with the results predicted by the typhoon wind field model and the wind field measurement data collected by Fugro Geotechnical Services (FGS) in Hong Kong at the bridge site from the field monitoring system of wind turbulence parameters (FMS-WTP) to validate the feasibility and accuracy of the hybrid numerical simulation method. The comparison demonstrates that the hybrid numerical simulation method gives more accurate prediction to typhoon wind speed and direction, because the effect of topography is taken into account in the hybrid numerical simulation method.

On the Development of Typhoon Avoidance Simulation System with the Evaluating Method by Seakeeping Performance of Ship

  • Song Chae-Uk;Kong Gil-Young;Jin Guo-Zhu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.299-304
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    • 2005
  • A simulation system is needed to train students and mariners in order that they can take suitable actions to evade typhoon's strike promptly and sufficiently. In order to make such kind of system, three kinds of models about the typhoon are necessary, typhoon prediction model to generate typhoon's track, wind & wave-field model to make sea conditions around the typhoon and evaluation model of trainee's action whether their actions were suitable or not during simulation. We have developed the prediction and wind & wave-field models of typhoon, but the evaluation model has not been developed yet. In this paper, after making a method for evaluating trainee's actions by seakeeping performance, we propose an typhoon avoidance simulation system for training mariners so that they can promote their abilities to evade the typhoons at sea.

Prediction of typhoon design wind speed and profile over complex terrain

  • Huang, W.F.;Xu, Y.L.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2013
  • The typhoon wind characteristics designing for buildings or bridges located in complex terrain and typhoon prone region normally cannot be achieved by the very often few field measurement data, or by physical simulation in wind tunnel. This study proposes a numerical simulation procedure for predicting directional typhoon design wind speeds and profiles for sites over complex terrain by integrating typhoon wind field model, Monte Carlo simulation technique, CFD simulation and artificial neural networks (ANN). The site of Stonecutters Bridge in Hong Kong is chosen as a case study to examine the feasibility of the proposed numerical simulation procedure. Directional typhoon wind fields on the upstream of complex terrain are first generated by using typhoon wind field model together with Monte Carlo simulation method. Then, ANN for predicting directional typhoon wind field at the site are trained using representative directional typhoon wind fields for upstream and these at the site obtained from CFD simulation. Finally, based on the trained ANN model, thousands of directional typhoon wind fields for the site can be generated, and the directional design wind speeds by using extreme wind speed analysis and the directional averaged mean wind profiles can be produced for the site. The case study demonstrated that the proposed procedure is feasible and applicable, and that the effects of complex terrain on design typhoon wind speeds and wind profiles are significant.

Frequency Analysis on Surge Height by Numerical Simulation of a Standard Typhoon (표준태풍 모의를 통한 해일고 빈도해석)

  • Kang, Ju Whan;Kim, Yang-Seon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.284-291
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    • 2016
  • A standard typhoon, which results in extreme wind speeds having various return period, can be reconstructed by combination of typhoon parameter informations(Kang et al., 2016). The aim of this study is to present a kind of surge-frequency analysis method by numerical simulation of a standard typhoon at Yeonggwang. MIKE21 was adopted as a numerical model and was proved to simulate the surge phenomena of the typhoon BOLAVEN(1215) well at several sites of the Western Coast. The simulation results with change of typhoon track which reflects typhoon-surge characteristics of the Western Coast show to have something in common with the observational results. This method is considered to be very efficient method on the point of simulating only one typhoon, while existing methods need to simulate a lot of typhoons.

An Improved Monte-Carlo Simulation Method for Typhoon Risk Assessment in Korea (개선(改善)된 Monte-Carlo 시뮬레이션 방법(方法)에 의한 한국(韓國)의 태풍위험도(颱風危險度) 분석(分析))

  • Cho, Hyo Nam;Chang, Dong Il;Cha, Cheol Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 1987
  • This study proposes an operational method of typhoon risk assessments in Korea, using Statistical analysis and probabilistic description of typhoon at a site. Two alternative simulation and fitting methods are discussed to predict the probabilistic typhoon wind speeds by indirect methods. A Commonly used indirect method is Russell's procedure, which generates about 1,000 Simulation data for typhoon winds, statistically evaluate the base-line distribution, and then fits the results to the Weibull distribution based on probabilistic description of climatological Characteristics and Wind field model of typhoon at a site. However, an alternative procedure proposed in this Paper simulates extreme typhoon wind data of about 150~200 years and directly fits the generated data to the Weibull distribution. The computational results show that the proposed simulation method is more economical and reasonable for typhoon risk-assessment based on the indirect method. And using the proposed indirect method, the probabilistic design wind speed for transmission towers in typhoon-prone region along the South-Western coast is investigated.

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Assessment of the directional extreme wind speeds of typhoons via the Copula function and Monte Carlo simulation

  • Wang, Jingcheng;Quan, Yong;Gu, Ming
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2020
  • Probabilistic information regarding directional extreme wind speeds is important for the precise estimation of the design wind loads on structures. A joint probability distribution model of directional extreme typhoon wind speeds is established using Monte Carlo simulation and empirical copula function to fully consider the correlations of extreme typhoon wind speeds among the different directions. With this model, a procedure for estimating directional extreme wind speeds for given return periods, which ensures that the overall risk is distributed uniformly by direction, is established. Taking 5 typhoon-prone cities in China as examples, the directional extreme typhoon wind speeds for given return periods estimated by the present method are compared with those estimated by the method proposed by Cook and Miller (1999). Two types of directional factors are obtained based on Cook and Miller (1999) and the UK standard's drafting committee (Standard B, 1997), and the directional risks for the given overall risks are discussed. The influences of the extreme wind speed correlations in the different directions and the simulated typhoon wind speed sample sizes on the estimated extreme wind speeds for a given return period are also discussed.

Estimation on the Radius of Maximum Wind Speed using RSMC Best Track Data (RSMC 최적경로 자료를 이용한 태풍의 최대풍속반경 산정)

  • Ko, Dong Hui;Jeong, Shin Taek;Cho, Hongyeon;Jun, Ki Cheon;Kim, Yoon Chil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.291-300
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    • 2013
  • Typhoon simulation method is widely used to estimate sea surface wind speeds during the typhoon periods. Holland (1980) model has been regarded to provide relatively better results for observed wind data. JTWC or RSMC best track data are available for typhoon modeling, but these data show slightly different because the data generation process are different. In this paper, a Newton-Raphson method is used to solve the two nonlinear equations based on the Holland model that is formed by the two typhoon parameters, i.e. the longest radius of 25 m/s and 15 m/s wind speeds, respectively. The solution is the radius of maximum wind speed which is of importance for typhoon modeling. This method is based on the typhoon wind profile of JMA and it shows that Holland model appears to fit better the characteristics of typhoons on the temporal and spatial changes than that of the other models. In case of using RSMC best track data, the method suggested in this study shows better and more reasonable results for the estimation of radius of maximum wind speed because the consistency of the input data is assured.

GCM Scenario Downcsaling Method using Multi-Artificial Neural Network and Stochastic Typhoon Model (다지점 인공신경망과 추계학적 태풍모의를 통한 GCM 시나리오 상세화기법)

  • Moon, Su-Jin;Kim, Jung-Joong;Kang, Boo-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.276-276
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    • 2012
  • 일반적으로 기후변화영향에 관한 연구수행을 위해 전지구기후모형(GCM; Global Climate Model)이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 GCM은 공간해상도(Spatial resolution)가 거칠기 때문에 수문학 분야에서 주로 사용되는 유역규모의 지역적인 스케일특성과 물리적 특징을 표현하는데 한계가 있다. 또한 GCM 기후변수들 중 강수량의 경우 한반도 지역의 6월과 10월 사이에 연강수량의 67% 이상이 집중되는 계절성을 반영하지 못하고 있으며, 높은 불확실성을 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 GCM 기반의 다지점 인공신경망기법을 적용한 상세화(Downscaling)를 실시하였다. GCM의 24개 2D변수에 대한 주성분분석을 실시하여 신경망의 학습인자로 사용하였으며, 학습, 검증 및 예측기간은 각각 1981~1995년, 1996~2000년, 2011~2100년으로 A1B 시나리오를 대상으로 상세화를 실시하였다. 또한, 여름철 태풍사상을 모의하기 위한 Stochastic Typhoon Simulation기법과 Baseline과 Projection 사이의 강수량 보정을 위한 Dynamic Quantile Mapping 기법을 적용하여, 강수량의 불확실성을 최소화 하고자 하였다.

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Numerical Simulation of Typhoon-generated Waves using WAM with Implicit Scheme (음해법을 이용한 WAM모형의 태풍파랑 수치모의)

  • Chun, Je-Ho;Ahn, Kyung-Mo;Yoon, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.294-300
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    • 2006
  • Implicit numerical scheme using fractional step method and FCT is used to improve the computational efficiency of WAM. Square wave test and simulation of typhoon generated waves are conducted to verify the numerical scheme. The applied scheme shows much less numerical diffusion and due to the implicit character of the scheme much larger time steps can be used without numerical instability. For typhoon MAEMI, comparison between the numerical results and the measured data shows good agreement.

Probability-Based Estimates of Basic Design wind Speeds in Korea (확률에 기초한 한국의 기본 설계풍속 추정)

  • 조효남;차철준;백현식
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 1989
  • This study presents rational methods for probability-based estimates of basic design wind speeds in Korea and proposes a risk-based nation-wide map of design wind speeds. The paper examines the fittings of the extreme Type I mode to largest yearly non-typhoon wind data from long-term records, and to largest monthly non-typhoon wind data from short-term records. For the estimation of the extreme typhoon wins speed distribution, an indirect analytical method based on a Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to typhoon-prone regions. The basic desig wind speeds for typhoon and non-typhoon winds at the sites of concern are made to be obtained from the mixed model given as a product of the two distributions. The results of this study show that the proposed models and methods provide a practicable tool for the development of the risk-based basic design wind speed and the design wind map from short-term station records currently available in Korea.

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