• 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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• 제19권3호
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• pp.129-136
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• 2023

In this paper, we describe a rule-based risk classification algorithm to perform Risk-based Inspection (RBI) on imported goods at customs. The RBI system is a method to automatically select which cargos have to be inspected and manage potential risks in boarder. In this study, we designed a rule-based risk classification algorithm for RBI solutions and implemented them using the Svelte web application framework. The risk classification algorithm proposed in this paper uses different indicative risk factors such as HS code, country of origin, importer's reliability, trade relationships, and logistics routes to classify cargos into Green, Yellow, and Red channels. To achieve this, we assigned risk categories to each risk factor and randomly generated risk scores within a specific range for each risk category. This system is expected to contribute to the increased efficiency of customs operations and protect public safety by minimizing the risk of imported hazardous materials.

• Toxicological Research
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• 제17권
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• pp.219-225
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• 2001

The basic structure for assessment of potential health risks from environmental chemicals is widely agreed upon, but many of the details of risk assessment procedures differ among practitioners. Government regulatory agencies typically have guidelines or standard procedures for their risk assessments, established to ensure consistency and comparability, to set standards for adequacy, and to embody underlying tenets. In setting and updating such guidelines, each agency takes into account not only the prevailing thinking about appropriate procedures, but also its own goals and responsibilities and the precedents it has set for itself in past analyses. This results in variations in methods, and consequently in characterization of risks, among regulatory assessments, even when they are based on the same data. As a result, adopting existing assessments from a variety of regulatory bodies needs to be done with caution. This paper examines some of the variants in risk assessment approaches among American federal regulatory agencies and relates them to the variations in regulatory responsibilities of those groups. Comparisons to international practices are also drawn. The impact on development of world-wide risk standards is discussed.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.158-170
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• 2009

This paper considers how the optimal export level is influenced by export risk, the degree of risk-averseness for exporting firms, and those firms' cost structure. In addition, export insurance is incorporated into some simple theoretical model to analyze the optimal export level. This paper applies genetic algorithm simulation to show that the exporting firms'risk-averseness do not affect the optimal export decision while export risk and cost function characteristic have relatively more significant effects on the optimal export level. Finally, our findings suggest that the most influential factor for the optimal export levels seems to be the monopoly power of exporting firms.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.990-994
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• 2009

With the world in financial recession, the general trend of global trade is declining. As a result, the world leading shipbuilding industries are confronted with an even more difficult task of mitigating various risks associated with the industries. How well the three shipbuilding industries, Japan, Korea and China, can adapt and manage the risks will be crucial. As the youngest of the top three, the Chinese industry faces greater risks. As it happens to share many factors with that of South Korea in 2004-2005, it is necessary to review and evaluate the risk management plan used by South Korea. This paper presents an evaluation of the risk management plan for shipbuilding industry in South Korea during 2004-2005, considering the financial and political environments at that time. This will help us to structure a plan of risk management for the future.

• 경영과정보연구
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.21-46
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• 2012

최근 국내 기관 투자자들을 중심으로 전통적 투자대상으로부터의 수익이 하락추세에 있어 기관 투자자들이 적극적 자산운용을 기피할 경우, 장기적으로 안정적 수익보장을 유지하기 어렵다는 우려가 제기되었다. 이에 보유자산 구성을 조정한 수익성 개선전략의 요구가 증대되고 있으며, 일부 기관 투자자들은 헤지펀드를 기존 포트폴리오에 편입시킴으로써 운용수익률을 제고하려는 움직임을 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 시스템트레이딩을 이용하여 선물시장에서 거래확률 조정을 통한 헤지펀드 투자전략을 제시하고자 한다. 선물시장에서 사용되는 다양한 기술적 지표를 이용하여 연관성 규칙(association rule)을 생성하고 이를 거래규칙(trading rule)으로 전환하여 투자전략으로 활용한다. 한편 연관성 규칙은 기술적 지표의 개수와 개별 지표들의 구간값의 조합으로 생성되며, 조합에 따라 거래확률을 조정함으로써 위험관리가 가능한 투자전략을 수립하는데 사용된다. 제시된 전략의 우수성을 입증하기 위해 KOSPI 200 연결선물데이터를 이용하여 수익성 분석을 수행하였으며, 분석결과 제시된 투자전략이 투자위험관리에 효과적임을 보였다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권8호
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• pp.45-72
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• 2019

Purpose - This study examines the mediating effect of switching costs (economic risk costs and setup costs) on the relationships of country image with product attitude and product attachment. Switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave, which are insufficiently addressed in the literature, were investigated using the country image of Korea as a proxy for the Korean Wave. Moreover, this study examined the economic effects of the Korean Wave and the negative effect of the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) deployment on these economic effects. Design/methodology - A total of 302 Chinese consumers were surveyed using a questionnaire. Because this was an exploratory study and was not based on a classical model, the PLS-SEM method was employed to test the stability of the model and its hypotheses. Findings - Switching costs had mediating effects on the relationships of country image with product attitude and product attachment. The switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave were verified. However, neither the economic image nor cultural image of Korea had significant effects on the economic risk costs. Moreover, the economic image of Korea had no significant effect on the set-up costs. Originality/value - This study broadened the understanding of the relationships among country image, switching costs, product attitude, and product attachment and advanced the knowledge of relevant theories. The results contribute theoretically to the literature on switching-cost effects for the Korean Wave. The results confirmed the negative effect of THAAD deployment on the economic effects of the Korean Wave. In the rapidly developing international environment, these research results could serve as theoretical reference guidelines for suppliers when developing marketing strategies.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.77-100
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• 2023

Purpose - Using the Model of Goal-Directed Behavior (MGB), this study identifies the critical factors that influence consumer intention to purchase an electric vehicle (EV). This study also provides differentiated policy implications to the Korean and Chinese governments and EV-related companies for the expansion of the EV market in both countries by comparing consumers' perceptions of EV purchase intentions. Design/methodology - Our extended MGB model adds to the standard model consideration of financial incentives, perceived risks, and environmental concerns. An online survey was conducted of Korean and Chinese consumers. Based on the collected responses, all tested hypotheses were verified using PLS-SEM (Partial Least Squares-Structural Equation Modeling). Differences in the path analysis results between Korea and China were compared and verified using Henseler's MGA (multi-group analysis), the parametric test, and the Welch-Satterthwaite test. Findings - The most critical factor that influences the intent to purchase an EV in consumers from both countries is personal desire. PBC and SN were identified as the critical factors that respectively increase personal desire in Korea and China. In addition, in Korea, among the three factors EC, FIP, and PR, environmental concerns were found to have the most significant impact on attitudes and purchase intention. In contrast, in China, economic factors (specifically financial incentives) had greater importance than environmental issues. Originality/value - This study has academic contributions in that it presents a new research model that includes financial incentive policies, environmental concerns, and perceived risk variables based on the MGB to explore consumers' purchase intentions. This study can also make a practical contribution in that it provides some meaningful implications to the governments and EV-related companies of both countries based on the differences in the analysis results of the Korean and Chinese markets.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제27권2호
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• pp.115-129
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• 2023

Purpose - This study empirically analyzes the consumer value of risk management associated with illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing of fishery products imported to Korea. The global regulatory paradigm for IUU fishing has shifted from production-centered to market-centered. As a result, changes in the international fisheries trade environment emphasizing "transparency" and "legality" of the production process are accelerating. Therefore, changes in the management systems of fishery products entering the country are also needed. Accordingly, this study estimated the consumer value for risk management of IUU fishing, targeting major fish species imported to Korea, and derived the feasibility of introducing related policies. Design/methodology - This study used the choice experiment as an analysis model to estimate consumers' willingness to pay for the "possibility to check for IUU fishing." The choice experiment assumes that the value of a good or service is composed of separable attributes and that the sum of the part-worth of these individual attributes becomes the total value. In this study, respondents were presented with profiles comprising three attributes (country of origin, price, and possibility of checking IUU fishing) and the levels of frozen poulp squid, the subject of the analysis. The participants were asked to select their preferred profile. The marginal willingness to pay for each attribute was derived from the results of the respondents' choices using conditional logit model estimates. Findings - There is a marked difference in utility based on the preference of the country of origin of fishery products among consumers. In addition, the utility of fishery products that have undergone IUU fishing verification was observed to be higher, with the utility marked to be higher for lower prices. Originality/value - Estimating the policy value of the risk management in IUU fishing of imported fisheries products in this study is a novel attempt that has never been conducted before. Several studies have been conducted to assess the risk of IUU fishing associated with the import of fishery products internationally. However, such studies are yet to be conducted in Korea. Instead, policies and studies have focused on issues related to complying with trading partners' legal and transparent standards for exporting fishery products. This study should be the beginning of more in-depth empirical and theoretical explorations to establish order in the domestic seafood market and respond to changes in international regulations on IUU fishing.

• 기술혁신연구
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.127-150
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• 2020

세계보건기구(WHO)는 홍콩독감과 신종플루 이후 역사상 세 번째 팬데믹을 선언했다. 코로나19의 발생으로 국가 간 교류는 극도로 위축되는 한편 빠른 전염성으로 국가별 경기변동의 시간차를 만들어 냈다. 2020년 1월 미·중 무역 분쟁은 합의국면으로 접어들었으나 코로나19로 발생한 경제 디커플링 현상은 중국이 미국과의 무역균형을 맞추기 어렵게 만들었고 미·중 무역 분쟁 합의 조건을 지키기 어렵게 만들었다. 트럼프 대통령은 코로나19 확산의 책임을 중국에 돌렸고 경기 침체의 원인도 중국의 영업비밀 침해, 불법복제품 등으로 지목하면서 보호주의가 대두되었다. 이에 중국은 거세게 반발하면서 미국과 갈등이 깊어졌다. 미국은 중국 반도체 굴기의 핵심기업인 화웨이와 SMIC에 무역재제를 선언했고 미·중 간 반도체 밸류체인 단절 위험을 예고하고 있다. 반도체 산업의 밸류체인 분리는 특정 국가와 기업이 가치사슬에 고도로 전문화되어 독점하는 구조인 반도체 산업에 큰 충격을 줄 가능성이 있다. 본 논문은 코로나19로 인해 재점화된 미·중 간 반도체 밸류체인 단절 위험과 반도체 글로벌 산업 가치사슬의 충격과 변화, 한국 반도체 기업의 대응전략을 다루고자 한다.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2016

The study performs a risk analysis on container ship accidents using accident data collected over the six years from 2006 to 2011, presents the resulting risk level, and suggests three risk mitigation measures to reduce the overall risk, for the safer operation of container ships. More specifically, starting from the initial accident of collision, we developed 13 different accident scenarios using event tree analysis based on which the overall risk level was obtained and presented as a FN curve. Since diverse human factors are the main cause of most of the ship accidents, our study focuses on the effect of reducing human causes on the resulting risk level. For the research we considered the injuries for the calculation of fatality with the help of MAIS. The results show that collision was the main type of accident, accounting for 62 % of all accidents, and the measures employed were proven to be effective in the sense that the risk level was much lowered and the average number of fatalities was also reduced. With more data accumulated, more precise risk level will be calculated with which the practical risk mitigating measures will be also developed. For future study, economic loss and environmental damage as consequences need to be considered.