• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.485-492
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• 1998

Most forecasting models often fail to produce appropriate forecasts because we build a model based on the assumption of the data being generated from the only one stochastic process. However, in many real problems, the time series data are generated from one stochastic process for a while and then abruptly undergo certain structural changes. In this paper, we assume the basic underlying process is the simple state-space model with random level and deterministic drift but interrupted by three types of exogenous shocks: level shift, drift change, outlier. A Bayesian procedure to detect, estimate and adapt to the structural changes is developed and compared with simple, double and adaptive exponential smoothing using simulated data and the U.S. leading composite index.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.135-138
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• 2023

In this paper, we study real-time error in the context of monitoring a binary information source through a delay system. To derive the average real-time error, we model the delay system as a discrete time Geo/D/1/1 queueing model. Using a discrete time three-dimensional Markov chain with finite state space, we analyze the queueing model. We also perform some numerical analysis on various system parameters: state transition probabilities of binary information source; transmission times; and transmission frequencies. When the state changes of the information source are positively correlated and negatively correlated, we investigate the relationship between transmission time and transmission frequency.

• Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.155-162
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• 2019

The energy management technology for an independent fuel cell-battery hybrid system is developed for a household usage. To develop an efficient energy management technology, a simulation model is first developed. After the model is verified with experimental results, three energy management schemes are developed. Three control techniques are a fuzzy logic control (FLC), a state machine control (SMC), and a hybrid method of FLC and SMC. As the fuel cell-battery hybrid system is used for a house, battery state of charge (SOC) regulation is the most important factor for an energy management because SOC should be kept constant every day for continuous usage. Three management schemes are compared to see SOC, power split, and fuel cell power variations effects. Experimental results are also presented and the most favorable strategy is the state machine combined fuzzy control method.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.485-501
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• 2015

Cooling by the flow of water through an embedded cooling pipe has become a common and effective artificial thermal control measure for massive concrete structures. However, an extreme thermal gradient induces significant thermal stress, resulting in thermal cracking. Using a mesoscopic finite-element (FE) mesh, three-phase composites of concrete namely aggregate, mortar matrix and interfacial transition zone (ITZ) are modeled. An equivalent probabilistic model is presented for failure study of concrete by assuming that the material properties conform to the Weibull distribution law. Meanwhile, the correlation coefficient introduced by the statistical method is incorporated into the Weibull distribution formula. Subsequently, a series of numerical analyses are used for investigating the influence of the correlation coefficient on tensile strength and the failure process of concrete based on the equivalent probabilistic model. Finally, as an engineering application, damage and failure behavior of concrete cracks induced by a water-cooling pipe are analyzed in-depth by the presented model. Results show that the random distribution of concrete mechanical parameters and the temperature gradient near water-cooling pipe have a significant influence on the pattern and failure progress of temperature-induced micro-cracking in concrete.

• Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.60-65
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• 2003

An effective modeling and simulation scheme of a resistive type Superconducting fault Current Limiter (SFCL) using PSCAD/EMTDC is proposed in this paper. In case of High Temperature Superconducting (HTS) resistive type fault current limiter current limiting is implemented by the ultra-fast transition characteristics from the superconducting (non-resistive) state to the normal (resistive) state by overstepping the critical current density. The states can generally be divided into three sub-states: the superconducting state the quench state and the recovery state respectively. In order to provide alternative application schemes of a resistive type SFCL, an effective modeling and simulation method of the SFCL is necessary. For that purpose, in this study, an actual experiment based component model is developed and applied for the simulation of the real resistive type SFCL using PSCAD/EMTDC. The proposed simulation scheme can be implemented to the grid system readily under various system conditions including sort of faults and the system capacity as well. The simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model and simulation scheme.

• Current Optics and Photonics
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• v.2 no.5
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• pp.448-452
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• 2018

A three-wavelength $Pr^{3+}:YLF$ laser at 604 nm, 607 nm and 640 nm simultaneously output by Fabry-Perot (F-P) etalon has been obtained. A 444 nm blue laser diode is used for pumping the $Pr^{3+}:YLF$ crystal, and a 0.1 mm F-P etalon is inserted in the resonator to select wavelength. The theoretical model of three-wavelength $Pr^{3+}:YLF$ laser is established, by adjusting the tilt angle of the etalon, the transmittances of the different wavelengths can be controlled, and the threshold values can be made to equalize by controlling the loss among different wavelengths. In the experiment, when the tilt angle of etalon is $9^{\circ}$ and the optimized length of resonator is 48 mm, the total output power of 25 mW at the three-wavelength is achieved at incident pump power of 7.5 W.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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• 2004.08a
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• pp.368-377
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• 2004

A mathematical model was developed for the prediction of the average temperature and RDT(RM Delivery temperature) in a roughing mill. The model consisted of three parts as follows (1) The intermediate numerical model calculated the deformation and heat transfer phenomena in the rolling: region by steady state FEM and the heat transfer phenomena in the interpass region by unsteady state FEM (2) The Off-line prediction model was derived from non-linear regression analysis based on the results of intermediate numerical model considering the various rolling conditions, (3) Using the heat flux in rolling region, temperature profile along thickness direction was calculated. For validation of the presented model, the rolling force per pass and RDT measued in on-line process was compared with those of model and the results showed close agreement with the existing data. In order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, the various rolling conditions was tested.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.68-74
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• 2014

This study analyzes structural stress and fatigue about three types of automotive wheels. As maximum equivalent stresses at 1, 2 and 3 types become lower than the yield stress of material and deformations become minute, theses types are thought be safe on durability. Type 2 model has the most fatigue life among three kinds of types and the rest of models with fatigue lives are shown in the order of type 1 and 3. As the most fatigue frequency of type 2 model happens at the state of average stress and amplitude stress on the stress range narrower than type 1 or 3, type 2 model becomes most stable. In case of type 2 with the state near the average stress of 0 MPa and the amplitude stress of 300MPa, the possibility of maximum damage becomes 30%. This stress state can be shown as the most damage possibility. These study results can be effectively utilized with the design on automotive wheel by anticipating and investigating prevention and durability against its damage.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.17-30
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• 1988

The aim of this project is to analyze the queueing model with the two types of customers which either can wait unrestrictedly or wait restrictively in the system depending on the condition of service facility unless they may be served immediately. This model consists of the three-dimensional state space and then quasi birth-death process is formulated. The steady-state probabilities and measures of performance of this system are derived by using Matrix Geometric method.

• Journal of international Conference on Electrical Machines and Systems
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• v.2 no.3
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• pp.288-294
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• 2013

This paper introduces a novel method of on-line identifying the stator resistance and leakage inductance of dual three phase induction motor (DTPIM). According to the machine mathematical model, the stator resistance and leakage inductance can be estimated using the voltage and current values in harmonic subspace. Thus a method of voltage vector injection in harmonic subspace (VVIHS) is proposed, which causes currents in harmonic space. Then the errors between command and actual harmonic currents are utilized to regulate the machine parameters, including stator resistance and leakage inductance. The principle is presented and analyzed in detail. Experimental results prove the feasibility and validity of proposed method.